Analysis: I think Duke has lost their mojo lately. Losing outright at home to V-Tech was bad, but getting crushed by North Carolina is worse. Duke'd defense just isn't that good, and honestly, Wake's defense is for real. I doubt Wake will win this game, but losing by three touchdowns doesn't seem very likely. Duke has nothing really to play for, except maybe a better bowl game and with another victory a ten win season, but that's a far cry from their aspirations only three weeks ago when they had at the very least a legit shot at the ACC Title game. Two weeks ago Wake played badly and lost at NC State (but they did score!) but the two games before that were winnable. They were tied at the half against Clemson, and made a valiant comeback against BC that just feel short. Then fast forward to last week when they got the 2OT win over V-Tech, and shut them out for four quarters. For all the ineptness that people think is V-Tech's offense, it's only been down the stretch they couldn't score. They were fine early, if you remember, they beat Ohio State. Perhaps an blip on the screen as OSU was losing Miller, but nevertheless shutting out a Hokie team that beat the Buckeyes and put up tons on G-Tech and North Carolina, THEN went to DUKE and lost by ONE, 17-16, just says that +18.5 is probably too many points.
As much as the bet % and line move say Michigan might be a smart bet, and we know that you're paying dearly for OSU, I could do nothing but take Ohio State.
They seem pretty convinced the BC/Syracuse game will be low scoring and I agree. It's tempting not to take those points in a low scoring game and BC clearly over valued off of FSU game, but......
I know it's a rivalry but the talent discrepancy between Tennessee and Vandy is too much. The line NOT being bought back off of 17 says Vols or nothing.
I hate the Badgers game, only because I do like the Gophers here. But, not sure I can go there yet.
If Conner plays, I like Pitt. If not, I like Miami. It's that simple.
In the Terps game I lean pretty good to the under. Both offenses really struggle and Rutgers D should be able to keep Maryland from going off.
I am close to taking NC State. If this game were two or three weeks ago IMO this line would be higher, but it's not and sharp money seemingly on the Wold Pack.
Northwestern isn't good enough to lay more than a TD to anyone.
In spite of WVU being a huge road chalk, I agree. But, I also think as square as it is that the game sails over the total.
I have talked myself out of Southern Miss, although it is VERY tempting. Just tired of betting on sh*tty teams, however, UAB favored on the road isn't getting my money.
It's hard to fade Boise State at home. But USU has been playing well and it IS a huge rivalry game so I'd take the points.
The money appears to be on Washington State, another bad team, but again, a rivalry. The money seems to be on the under, and that I do not agree with, weather pending.
I think Baylor crushes T-Tech and that it goes over.
I'll pas that UGA game now that Missouri is in the SEC title game AND G-Tech is in the ACC game. I think I'd have to take the points, but UGA is really playing well lately. So, under.
My head says BYU but the other side of my brain says Cal has been pretty consistent lately, in a bad way. Cal needs the win for a Bowl game.
I want no part of Oregon, and actually lean to the Beavers a little.
I like Penn State quite a bit. Their defense can win this game at home.
I'll just watch the Alabama game. Obviously you're paying dearly for the Tide, so the value may be on Auburn, but after last years' debacle who knows what will happen.
The very sharp money is on Florida over FSU. I am not so sure that at -7 I wouldn't take the Noles. I get the whole FSU barely winning thing and the Florida motivation thing, but I seriously wonder how Florida scores here. There IS that much talent differential.
With UNLV's coach stepping down, I couldn't touch that game. Players did like him, as bad as they are, and it IS at home.
At +7 I can see taking South Carolina. Just too many things that can happen here. I do like the over, too.
Mississippi State really should hammer Ole Miss, but I LOVE the under here. Two top notch defenses against two sub-notch offenses.
This may be the year SoCal beats the sh*t out of Notre Dame, but you know what betting against the Irish in big games can spell, so I am inclined to take the points.