As square as it may look w/so many folks on this one all of a sudden,
This play leaped off page from Day 1 & it’s getting ‘3-D’ w/additional examination
Thu Aug 28 2014 | 8:05 PM, EDT | CBSSN
Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium | Tulsa, Oklahoma
TULANE GREEN WAVE
TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE
Two teams which had entirely, completely unexpected 2013 Seasons
Tulane
The Green Wave clearly & dramatically OVERachieved in 2013
Tulane was outgained by <-50> Yards/Game in C-USA Games
Yet, the Green Wave parlayed +11 Turnover Season Margin
And Tulane was the 4th least injured team in D-1
To capitalize on timely score first WINNING season since 2002
Tulane’s breakthrough 2013 season (7-6) was strung together w/more than a few smoke & mirrors
Tulane notched two wins vs winning teams (North Texas & ECU)
Both these Tulane Wins came at HOME; both were tossup, 3 Point Wins (ECU W also 3-OT)
The MOST striking fact of these two 3-Point Tulane Home Wins over Winning Teams?
Tulane was OUTGAINED by COMBINED 366 Yards in these two Games (-233 | -133)
Tulane remaining 4 FBS ‘wins’ came vs teams w/combined 15-35 Record
After The Green Wave reached bowl eligibility,
Tulane notably came back to earth with a 1-4 finish down stretch
Tulane will likely start a Redshirt Freshman at QB
Tulane Sr Nick Montana just hasn’t cracked the Wave 1-Spot
The Tulsa Defense will be robust test for Whichever Tulane QB starts
Tulsa
The Golden Hurricane clearly & dramatically UNDERachieved in 2013
After 4 Double-Figure Win Seasons in their previous 6, and 8 year run w/72-43 Record
Tulsa crashed & burned to 3-9 (3-9 ATS) last year
Tulsa’s HC Bill Blankenship guided Tulsa to a 19-8 Record in his first 2 Seasons
Before their injury-riddled, undistinguished, forgettable 2013
When TU lost 7th most D-I game starts to injury in 2013 in D-I (44 Total)
Tulsa was Ranked #26 in USA Today’s 2013 Preseason Ranking of all D-I Teams
Tulsa was also 27-16 ATS in their previous 3 seasons
Tulsa is positioned to bounce back in 2014
Tulsa also lost to Tulane in 2013 for the first time in 9 games, 14-7 in New Orleans
Despite Tulsa out gaining the Green Wave 344 to 299
Tulane 14-7 Win over Tulsa was a fitting representation of each teams’ season in general
Tulsa scored & led 7-0 most of the 1st Half
Till Tulsa spotted Tulane two TD’s drives, one just before Half
Tulsa repeatedly failed to overcome this Tulane’s 14-7 Lead
On 6 subsequent occasions, Tulsa moved the ball
TU maintained 6 Drives of 45 Yards or more the rest of the game w/o scoring another point
Tulsa assisted Tulane’s Win w/2 demoralizing Turnovers, Including a 4Q Tulsa fumble at Tulane 1 Yard Line
Tulsa 2013 Defense was decimated by injury, & TU inexplicably lost 23 Starts to their Defense
In the Hurricane final 5 Games, TU opponents capitalized on these injuries as
Tulsa’s porous Defense allowed 38.6 PPG & 512 YPG over these final 5 Games in 2013
Tulsa’s ridiculed 2013 Defense returns all but 1 Starter
Tulsa brings back 8 Upper-class returning Defensive Starters
Thus, over ½ of Tulsa’s #1 C-USA Defense from 2012 is BACK on the field this season
Should make Tulsa #11th (of 14) C-USA injury-plagued Defense output a distant memory
Tulsa not only returns all but 13 Letterman, but all but 1 of their top 10 Tacklers
Over ½ of Tulsa’s 53 returning letterman were on combined 29-11 Record teams of 2011-2013
Tulsa’s returning Soph QB Soph Dane Evans clearly had a rough 2013 in his 5 starts
Tulsa’s Freshman Burgess (in the tradition of outstanding Hurricane QB’s)
Has reportedly impressed enough in Fall Camp to possibly be named starter vs Tulsa
Tulane & Tulsa join the AAC this season
Vegas sees these two essentially even; accounting for Tulsa’s home field
Phil Steele assesses Tulsa’s 2014 Roster Units far more talented than Tulane
Steele goes on to project Tulane “computer projected stat differentials” for 2014:
Tulane is projected DEAD-LAST in 2014 AAC (-9.6 PPG and -97 YPG)
Statistically speaking, Tulane is projected to finish as the 11th poorest D-I Team (#117)
Tulsa isn’t a whole lot better at #88, yet it’s a far cry from Tulane’s expected slide
Tulsa OWNED Tulane for 8 Seasons, from 2005 thru 2012
So much so that Tulsa owned an 8-Game ATS Win streak
Average Tulsa vs Tulane Game Margin for 8 year stretch between 2005 thru 2012: TULSA +37 Points
Until the 2013 aberration season
Tulsa was also on 17-2 straight up & 11-6 ATS as Home Favorite in 2010 thru 2012
Getting Tulsa under a TD Favorite is just an outstanding value here.
3 UNIT
TULANE
TULSA -5 (-110 | sportsbook.au)
__________
1 UNIT
COLORADO STATE +3 (-110 | 5-Dimes)
COLORADO
__________
1 UNIT
CALIFORNIA
NORTHWESTERN -11 (-110 | Bet-365)
__________
1 UNIT
BOWLING GREEN
WESTERN KENTUCKY +265 (Sportbet)
__________
½ UNIT | 6-POINT TEASER (-110 | BetUS)
MISSISSIPPI
BOISE STATE +16
To
ARKANSAS +27
AUBURN
__________
Hoping to break down a little more & possibly adding another play or two.
All the best, guys