I took the title upon myself there would be more ambiguous speculation in the forums, and he's been busy defending things that are a waste of his time. Plus, if people lose money on this information I can blame someone else. Add that to the fact that some levity would help.
Florida at Tennessee: Quick rematch from a drubbing the Vols took recently in Gainesville where they scored 41 points and went 1-19 from behind the arc. My only question here is whether it's the Vols AND under or the just the under. Florida has Kentucky in Lexington next, so there's just no way I could take Florida here. Expecting this to be about a PK with a total around 127 and would think the early move(s) would be towards UF and the under. Last year the Vols won eight of their last nine, so finishing strong with only one bad loss to Texas A & M will go a long way towards their post season hopes. Much bigger game for them than Florida.
Oklahoma State at Texas: The obvious question is what effect Marcus Smart's absence has on the numbers, but for sure it will be some type of over reaction. Texas also has in-season revenge from a 13 point loss in Stillwater earlier, but I always find taking Texas and their poor free throw shooting hard at times. However, they do get to the line enough to make up for it in quantity. Two home losses by a total of 7 points to Michigan State and Oklahoma, so they're not going easy with or without Smart. Loss of Smart only leaves Forte at 5'11" to shoot from the outside. Cowboys only road win was a one point win over West Virginia, and having lose four straight it might be tough to back them. Bottom line is can Texas really be that easy or will the number be prohibitive. Might look hard at this under, figuring it won't be adjusted as much as the side and the Cowboys may well suffer from more turnovers.
Xavier at Butler: Not often in the last few years that Butler will be a home underdog, probably slightly, and given their fall from grace they still play enough defense to be taken seriously. They're all of 2-9 in Conference play, which is almost a dangerous team to be playing right now if your Xavier. I know Butler's got an unhappy Creighton team coming in next, but when you're in the Bulldogs spot there really is no look-ahead's anymore. Xavier's only Conference road win was at DePaul, and they're only 6-4 in the Big East so perhaps a little over valued here in name only. Xavier does not, for all their defensive accolades, create turnovers, and Butler doesn't turn the ball over. Xavier only has three more home games, and two are against Creighton and Villanova, so the pressure is squarely on them, which is why I lean Butler here.