Free plays are on a 6-1 run, premium plays swept the last two nights, and we gave out a ton more winners if anyone wanted even more action. Doing the work. Here's one we bet tonight, and we have March Madness Packages as well as the Triple Dime GOW going tonight.
728 Penn St. 5.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 727 Ohio St. |
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Analysis: I got to throw a marble on this one, even tho I am not a fan of betting the first game (I guess technically it's not but I DOUBT we/I will play those Big South games). However, I had a lean to Penn State before the lines came out and don't want to settle for a worse number. We've made living fading what can be a "soft" Buckeye team and will just go to the well again. It's Penn State's last home game, which is not always the lynch pin for a bet, but it never hurts. The Nittany Lions have played reasonably well at home despite their record. They took Iowa State to overtime, only lost to the Badgers by eight, lost to Maryland by three, and prior to that were crushed at Ohio State, so there's the revenge thing goin' on, too. Ohio State has the regular season finale at home this weekend aganist Wisconsin, so not the greatest spot for them here. Aside from crushing Rutgers on the road, their games away from Columbus haven't been anything to write home about. D'Angelo Russell has played a ton of minutes, and for a Freshman that played half as many games/minutes in High School last year, he could be wearing down. In that last game Penn State shot 31% from inside the arc, and they put OSU on the line far more than OSU is usually ON the line. Fixable problems, IMO. The Lions have the length advantage, get to the line more often (usually), and OSU is shooting 63% from the charity stripe in Conference play. If Penn State doesn't turn it over, they win the game. A few turnovers just keeps it within the number, and with OSU's free throw shooting I don't trust them to cover late if they don't run Penn State out of the building.
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