Had a rough one yesterday. Still looking to go on that run I know I am capable of. Let's start it today. Writeups for top plays only.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
(Risking $20.00 To Win $21.00) Oakland/ LA Angeles Over 8.5 (+105): I will be going with the Over in this one. You kinda have to with the way both teams have been swinging the bats so far this year. The Angels are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.57 rpg and they have hardly missed Josh Hamilton so far, scoring 7.2 rpg in their last 5 games. The hitting has been great for the Halos, but the pitching has not as their starters have a 4.01 ERA and their bullpen checks in with a 5.31 ERA on the year. Tyler Skaggs had a good first start of the year, but that was vs a bad Houston offense. In his last start he allowed 4 ERs to a New York offense that is showing they are very good and the A's offense is better than that NY offense. Overall, Skaggs has a 4.88 ERA in 15 career starts. The A's have struggled vs lefties this year, but still overall they average 4.57 rpg and im sure at some point they will get into that horrible LA bullpen, which should be good for a few runs. Tommy Milone may be the weakest starter on this A's staff and the Halos showed last night that the A's bullpen can allow some runs. Both teams should be able to score at least 4 runs in this one.
(Risking $20.00 To Win $16.67) Washington/ Miami Over 6.5 (-120): Jose Fernandez is an awesome pitcher, especially at home and he has an 0.69 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Nationals, but this Washington offense is very solid and they have scored 6.6 rpg vs Miami in the 5 games played this year. Overall the Nats have scored 5.5 rpg in their last 8 games. I can see them getting at least 3 runs combined vs Fernandez and the pen that has a 3.88 ERA on the year. For Miami, they have really been hitting well at home this year, where they have averaged 6.11 rpg and they will be going up against Tanner Roark, who has a 5.71 ERA in two starts this year, with both starts being on the road. I really don't see how at least 7 runs aren't scored in this one.
(Risking $20.00 To Win $16.00) Texas/ Seattle Under 7 (-125): This one has all the makings of a pitchers duel, as King Felix and Yu Darvish are elite pitchers that will be facing 2 struggling offenses. Felix Hernandez has made 3 starts this year and has a 2.11 ERA in those starts. One thing keeping this from being a 4 unit play is the fact that he has a 7.57 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Rangers, but this Rangers offense is nothing like he has faced in the past. Current Texas hitters have a .239 average vs him, with just 4 HR's in 218 ABs, while the Rangers as a team this year are 25th in the league in scoring, putting up just 3.64 rpg. Yu Darvish has been awesome out the gate as he hasn't allowed a run in 15 innings to start the year so far and he has a 1.68 ERA in his last 3 starts at home vs the Mariners. He will face a weak hitting Mariners squad that is 27th in the league in BA (.2300 and 18th in scoring. This should be a great pitching classic that puts up no more than 5 runs on the board.
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS
(Risking $12.00 To Win $11.01) Tampa Bay -109 over BALTIMORE
(Risking $10.00 To Win $22.22) Miami -141 & LA Angels -113
(Risking $15.00 To Win $10.87) SAN DIEGO -138 over Colorado
(Risking $10.00 To Win $8.70) Kansas City/ Houston Under 8.5 (-115)
1 UNIT PLAYS
(Risking $6.00 To Win $9.00) ARIZONA -1.5 (+150) over NY Mets
(Risking $8.00 To Win $7.07) LA ANGELS -113 Over Oakland
MLB Records
Top Plays Overall 21-16-1 (+8.45 Units... +$22.63)... 4 Unit 1-0-0 (+4.00 Units... +$30.43)... 3 Unit 20-16-1 (+4.45 Units... -$7.80)
Top Play Totals 15-12-1 (+3.85 Units +$4.20)... Top Play Parlays 0-2 (-3 Units -$40.00)
Other Plays Overall 29-39-1 (-24.15 Units -$137.10)
Other Play Totals 15-15-1 (-5.7 Units -$47.21)... Other Parlays 4-10-0 (-4.76 Units -$40.26)