For Monday I like the ROCKIES +126 at the Dodgers (Chatwood vs Lilly). Chatwood's ERA is 6 but he's only pitched 1 game and it was against the Braves where he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings. Lilly has an ERA of 1.80 but he has only pitched in 1 game and it was against the Mets who struggle vs left handed pitching. A lot of the Rockies batters have experience against Lilly and Carlos Gonzalez has 5 hrs in 20 at bats against him. To me this number seems slightly inflated so I think there is some value on Colorado.
+18.46 units STD (season to date) (all plays 2 units/all plays documented here: /pregame-forums/f/11/t/539667.aspx )