ADDING: PADRES +125 vs Dodgers (Beckett vs Richard) Padres home opener. Padres not as bad as they have looked. Beckett overrated.
We are up +15 units for the first week in baseball so I expect to start regressing very soon and in a very big way. For Tuesday I went ahead and took the ROCKIES +150 with Nicassio on the mound at the Giants with Lincecum. Lincecum has name recognition which I believe is the reason he has been overpriced in this spot. Lincecum simply is not the pitcher he once was. He continues to walk too many batters and just because he went 5 scoreless vs the Dodgers doesn't mean he has regained his Cy Young form. Meanwhile the Rockies' bats make them a live dog in this one. I am also higher on Juan Nicassio than most. His 5.28 era from last season is slightly misleading when you consider he had an xFIP of 3.99. Nicassio looked good in his first start of the season averaging 94 mph with his fastball. I think the Giants should be favored here but -160 is too steep.
UPDATE: ROCKIES CURRENTLY AT +118. VALUE IS GONE.