Friday, Aug. 28
Marlins @ Nationals -- Washington’s Max Scherzer is 0-2 with a 7.80 ERA in his last three starts; he gave up five HRs in 15 innings of work. He beat the Marlins in two starts against them this year, giving up 5 runs and 13 hits in 14 innings of work. Miami’s Adam Conley threw his career high in pitches in his last outing. Overall, Conley has allowed 11 runs and 25 hits in his four starts this season. Conley figures to pitch poorly in this game, and if the Marlins can squeeze a couple of runs out of Scherzer, Over 7 (-115) may prove to be too low in this game.
Rockies @ Pirates -- Colorado’s Jon Gray has just one start away from Coors Field this season. That outing came in New York against the Mets; he allowed just 1 run and one hit in six innings of work. The Rockies are watching his innings, so he’ll give way to a Colorado bullpen that owns a 4.81 ERA with 25 losses and 17 blown saves on the season. The Rockies are also 5-21 while averaging 3.7 runs per game versus left-handed starters this season.
Reds @ Brewers -- Milwaukee’s Taylor Jungmann had a streak of 10 straight starts of allowing 2 earned runs or less snapped in his last outing in Washington. Back on July 5th, Jungmann held the Reds to just 1 run and four hits in eight innings pitched on the road. Cincinnati’s Raisel Iglesias is coming off a losing effort where he only allowed 2 runs and three hits in seven innings; he had 13 strikeouts in that game. Iglesias has given up just nine hits in his last 20 innings of work. I like Under 7.5 (-120) in this game.
Tigers @ Blue Jays -- Toronto’s R.A. Dickey has allowed 13 runs and 26 hits in his last three starts. Dickey was shelled by the Tigers in Detroit back on July 4th, giving up 5 runs and 11 hits in 5.2 innings of work. Dickey has a 4.32 ERA in 11 career outings versus Detroit with seven of those games going Over the total. Detroit’s Matt Boyd has an ugly 6.90 ERA, and he’ll be facing a Toronto team that is hitting .276 against left-handed starters. I like Over 9.5 (-125) in this game.