Doing this for me as much as sharing. It's sharpens the focus and writing things down, especially at my age, helps.
963 Mia (+120) Greek vs 964 SDP
Cubs-Phillies: Of course the inclination would be to fade the Phillies and Williams, and it would be to play ON Lester. But seriously, if you think laying -260 is a good thing, go for it. I won't lay the RL because that's just something I don't do with home teams that may only get 24 outs.
Washington-Pittsburgh: Max came back to earth in his last start and I hate to fade the Pirates at home, but I have been having a hard time with Locke as well. However, Locke's last seven starts have produced a 1.96 ERA and he's better at home. I wouldn't rule out the home dog here.
Atlanta-St. Louis: In certain situations the Braves are going to offer some value, and this may be one of them. The Cardinals playing the Royals on Thursday while Atlanta has the day off is intriguing. I do like Baneulos but his lone road start didn't go well. Cooney could go either way and Atlanta is not as doable against lefties - but -170 is too much.
Reds-Rockies: I guess the tendency would be to look at the Reds, since the Rockies cannot beat the Rangers and gave up tons of runs. The Reds put up a lot of hits against the Cubs - but getting the key one with RISP was and has been an issue. Desclafani hasn't been very good, and although his road starts look more impressive, the teams he's faced were either light hitting and/or in big parks. Bettis has been crushed as well, but I'll be damned if I take over 11. Best bullpen probably wins, and two teams with trade-bait that could have some bearing, perhaps.
Milwaukee-Arizona: We (I) need to see what happens with Godley and how it relates to Arizona's bullpen on Thursday. My knee-jerk reaction would be to try and take Corbin and a reasonably priced home team, but in his three starts he gone exactly five innings each time, so that bullpen thing may matter even more. Nelson has just not been very good, especially on the road, but he did just shutout the Dodgers in LA, something I can't ignore, even if LA has their offensive issues at times.
Miami-San Diego: I have tried to fade Haren on the road more often than not, and that's clearly something I lean to. However, -145 for the Padres - the team that probably has the lesser of the two offenses, isn't something I'll do. Cashner has fallen off the table this season, too - so Miami or nothing, and I can actually see runs being scored here.
Rays-Orioles: I suppose getting Archer at "only" -160 at home is a good thing, but it's not like he facing a team that doesn't know him pretty well. Tillmans' WHIP has actually been pretty solid of late and he's had several good starts, so thaking the Orioles here is not out of the question. However, they played Thursday against the Yankees while the Rays had the day off to stew about losing in Philadelphia.
Indians-White Sox: I get that Kluber is one of the better pitchers in baseball, but to get Quintana at that price against a team that has historically struggled against left handed pitching is perhaps too much to pass up. The White Sox have already beaten him twice this season so they won't lack for confidence. The tough part is the White Sox on the road are as bad as Cleveland is at home. Perhaps the Chicago RL.
Boston-Detroit: So we have downgraded Verlander and upgraded Porcello against his old team THAT much. The Red Sox are in the first game back situation, while the Tigers had been in slugfests until the extra inning loss in Detroit on Thursday. That has to send them out in a pretty "down" mood - but laying -130 with Boston is tough, although perhaps the right thing to do. I don't know how this game stays under, and doubt it closes at 9, which is where it is now.
Yankees-Twins: Minnesota coming back from LA in a very good mood, and the Yankees leaving the Bronx in a good place. The instinct has been to take Hughes at home, and against his former team that may well be the direction to head. That would of course mean fading Pineda, and in looking up and down his starts he really has only been dominant against light hitting teams. Minnesota is far from a heavy hitting team, and they are better against LHP - so perhaps the under here.
Oakland-Giants: There is little doubt that it's Oakland or nothing for me, simply because the Giants at home have been far worse than the Giants on the road, and I do mean FAR. Oakland has been hitting and won five of seven, and the Giants have been winning - on the road and against "not very good" competition. Oakland did play on Thursday, but it's not a tough commute to San Francisco.