Saturday Bases! / 15-4 Free Play Run
The Dodgers dropped game 1 of this 3 game set in San Diego against the Padres on Friday night and are showing good value tonight with Greinke on the mound. LA are currently 3.5 games above the Giants for 1st place in the NL West and need to keep picking up wins to keep San Francisco at bay (No Pun Intended).
Zach Greinke toes the rubber for the road team and has pitched very well on the road this year. He is 6-6 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over 14 starts away from Dodger Stadium and the Dodgers are 8-2 in 10 games with Greinke on the mound when facing teams from the NL West in 2014. In 6 Career outings against the Padres, the Dodger hurler is 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA and his teams are an unbeaten 6-0. Greinke has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 8 of his last 10 trips to the mound.
Ian Kennedy gets the nod for the Padres tonight and comes in having been rocked for a 5.94 ERA over his last 3 starts. In 13 home starts, Kennedy is 4-5 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. The righty has issued an average of over 3 walks per game in his last 7 starts and his command seems to have dropped since the All Star Break. The Padres are just 4-6 when facing NL West teams when Kennedy takes the mound.
With the Dodgers hitting the baseball well over the last week and an advantage on the mound with Greinke facing a team whom he has dominated, I believe the value is on the visiting LA Dodgers in this match up.
LA Dodgers - 139
GL Guys, Have a great Saturday!
Jonathan Young