In my three seasons of NFL Football at Pregame, I have been a little above average. Hitting 60% in 2013, 47% in 2014, and 53% last year. Every off season, I take a look at my methods from the past year and see how I can improve. Over the Summer, I have been going back over my math model from last year and checking it against the season's results, tweaking where my numbers/formulas may be off a tick. I have also added two metrics to the model for this year that have been very strong indicators of game to game success in the NFL the past handful seasons.
I don't rely too heavily on my math model until usually Week Four or Five when a decent amount of numbers have been accumulated for the young season. Prior to this, I look to my off season research of the teams and work a great deal off of win totals, expectations, trends, and situational handicapping - then adding the math in support when I feel it carries weight.
Finally, I also like to adjust my information filter during every off season With so much information available and in your face these days, it can be too much information if you try to process all of it or apply all of it, in my opinion. So again, I like to plan in the off season, what I am going to read, listen to, or watch every week during the NFL campaign and what I am going to ignore as either useless or overkill. I like to have a routine and stick to it. I believe this helps to stay committed and enhances discipline.
Every season, I come in with an enthusiasm and mindset that my off season thought process and adjustments will have us prepared better than ever and I have that excitement once again.
My Week One Package is up here now..
/pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=86670#capper
Thanks again,
Brady Kannon
@lasvegasgolfer
www.LVTeeTimes.com