RECAP
San Diego State wins 65-64, in a game that did not really showcase their best side. SDSU came out a little bit flat, but still maintained a 5-10 point lead in the first half. Given that they were coming off 2 big wins against ranked team over the weekend, I thought they'd be more likely to show off their newfound talents against the crosstown rival, but the letdown or slump many sports betting professionals expect in these situations won out. This was a game the Aztecs should have won by 12+ points given they had a ten point lead with 5 minutes left and this total should have easily gone over, but as I just said, State didn't bring the mojo and barely squeaked by with a last minute 1-point win.
The Aztecs host the University of Washington on Sunday and then have 10 days off. The Toreros, who showed they have one of the best teams they've had in years, open conference play against Pacific on the 10, then UCSB on the 15th, and S. Utah on the 21st.
Sorry that we lost the spread and total, but this game could just as easily gone the other way. My early leans for tonights games are California -1 at UCSB, and I think the Arizona State/Depaul game could be a score-fest. I'll post an official post later it the OU is within reason.
Good luck with you bets this weekend.
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ORIGINAL POST
#519 San Diego State -7.5 at #520 San Diego at 8pm PST
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San Diego State
B A B A-
Always a tough out. Despite loss of 4 of top 7, Aztecs are always resilient. Senior PG Xavier Thames returns, but Franklin is gone, so the backcourt must rebuild. Newcomers add size, talent and athleticism so it’s up to Coach Fisher to meld the mix. How well they defend will be the key. No doubts they can score so overall chemistry is the big question mark.
12/4, The Aztecs, 5-1, and now ranked #24 with 6 and 8 point wins over #20 Creighton and #25 Marquette, the Aztecs are off to a blistering start. Their only loss came against #6 Arizona in Tucson, but these guys are showing the kind of cohesion I wouldn’t have expected until Mid-January and wily Coach Fisher knows just how to maximize their good fortune. In fact, I doubted their #2 MWC preseason ranking, but these Aztecs are scoring and they look like they like playing together and that’s going to mean trouble for just about everyone. |
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San Diego
A B B+ A
12/4, 7-2, So far they played a creampuff schedule and won the ones they should, but duked it out with SIU 59-56, and then lost at New Mexico 73-66. SD has a very good backcourt, but this team just doesn’t have much depth and beyond a sixth man, they lack experience. Any team that can control the tempo and put them into foul trouble should win. Point guard Chris Anderson is the key at 12ppg, 4rpg, and 6.3apg. The bench are just extras in a B+ movie. Will likely finish under .500 in the conference. Hosting #24 San Diego State 12/5 and should lose by double digits.
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I like San Diego State here -7.5. Right now there's a cockiness with the Aztecs I like a lot. I've seen them play 3 games and they've showed the kind of team chemistry we usually don't see until much later. I think there's a lot of trust within the nucleus. They're not bad in the stat box either. San Diego seems to be exploring their options, but haven't found the true mojo yet. I know this is a city rivalry game and SDSU is the visitor, but I just don't think the Toreros have the depth to keep it close.
As always, this is just my opinion so do the work before betting. BOL
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