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Free Picks: Waste Management Phoenix Open

Thread Starter Free Picks: Waste Management Phoenix Open
Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 308
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So last week was pretty tough, losing both our Free Picks and our two Premium Plays. I find it very interesting to note, we played on Nick Watney, Bill Haas, Charles Howell III, and Rickie Fowler.. all guys who have excellent track records at Torrey Pines and very successful PGA careers.. but look who has won on Tour in the last two months; Chris Kirk, Harris English, Jimmy Walker, Patrick Reed, and Scott Stallings. Huh? Who? Say what? Pretty wild isn't it? The global reach of talent in golf is becoming so incredible and the depth of the fields week in and week out is deeper than I think it has ever been before. This is one reason I feel why Tiger Woods hasn't won a major since The US Open at Torrey Pines in 2008.. there are so many more players who can win now than there has ever been before. What's happening now is that all of those little children that were awed and inspired some 18-20 years ago when Tiger said "Hello World," and they picked up a golf club and said, "I wanna be like that guy.." they are all coming into maturity now and becoming golf stars all over the planet. Tiger's impact on the game is like only few have ever had over any sport. Hello World may be one of the most telling sports marketing phrases ever. Truly amazing.

On to this week and the 70-degree temperatures of Phoenix in January. Our Free Pick Video is up here for your viewing..

http://pregame.com/tv/?v=Axix7xOWhlU 

In this video you will hear about my pick of Webb Simpson (-130) over Keegan Bradley as it is so listed at The LVH. This price is about as much as I ever care to lay but I think Simpson has a pretty good thing going right now and is the well deserved favorite. Bradley is no slouch and has a great overall game but let's look at what The Webber has been up to since last Fall.. 4th at The Tour Championship, 1st at The Shriner's in Las Vegas, 7th at The McGladrey in Sea Island, Georgia, 5th at The Northwestern Mutual World Challenge, 3rd at Kapalua, and 23rd at The Humana Challenge a couple of weeks ago in Palm Desert. In 2014, Simpson ranks 13th in driving accuracy, 1st in Greens in Regulation, 1st in Strokes Gained Putting, 1st in Birdies, 1st in Scoring, and 3rd in Birdies on Par 4's. And if that wasn't enough, I like how his accurate, finesse game, fueled by great putting and a ton of birdies works on a finesse type, birdie fest, desert course.. whereas I always see Keegan Bradley as a bigger game hunter.. a tough course player, long ball hitter, groomed for majors and seaside tests.. not a flagstick rattling birdie barrage in the desert. Going with the heavy favorite here this week.

Secondly, I like Justin Leonard to have a nice week and make his way past Luke Guthrie in a head to head match up listed at -115 at Bet On Line. It seems like forever since we have seen Justin Leonard be relevant on Tour but after years of changes and some injuries, he is playing very well as of late. Tied for 6th in Cancun at Mayakoba, T32 at The Sony in Honolulu, T3 at The Humana, and tied for 28th last week in San Diego.. and he has had great success here in Phoenix with 4-top 10's including two second place finishes, one a loss in a playoff to Phil Mickelson. So far this season, Leonard is 19th in driving accuracy, 19th in scoring, 1st in Par 3 performance, and 14th in putting. He's always been an outstanding putter. Guthrie, unlike Leonard, is a newbie to the Tour and an excellent player out of The University of Illinois but I like the veteran here today as Guthrie missed 7-out of 9-cuts to finish the 2013 regular season. He has 1-top 10 finish and 1-missed cut in the wrap around, and an 18th and 23rd so far in 2014. He missed the cut last year here in Phoenix. Guthrie too is a very good putter, ranking 17th overall but is 123rd in Greens in Regulation, 31st in scoring, and 57th in driving accuracy. This kid will be around for years to come, I imagine but I am siding with Old Man Leonard this week in the desert.

We have two other match ups as Premium Plays up here along with our Super Sunday Football Play..

http://pregame.com/pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=86670#capper

 

Have a great weekend. Enjoy the football and the golf - and have fun!

 

Brady Kannon

@lasvegasgolfer

www.LVTeeTimes.com

 

 

 

jotini
Joined: 09/10/2009
Posts: 291
College Varsity
Not Ranked

Great video Brady. I will be in attendance, as always, in Scottsdale. It's the best party of the year. The Bird's Nest will have 10 times more boob jobs per square foot than any Super Bowl venue. Weezer playing on Friday night to boot. The Thunderbirds decked out in traditional Bola ties and pants that make John Daly look conservative. Here are my selections for The Waste Management Open. It's still the Phoenix Open to us locals.

I think Graham DeLaet (31:1) could be there again this week. Three top 7 finishes. Anyone from Canada loves Scottsdale in the winter

Ryan Moore- Lives in Vegas, loves desert courses. 27:1 Scary when he's on a hot streak. Birdie city!

Billy Horschel- deadly every year on the final 4 holes of TPC 28:1

Nicolas Colsaerts-His length will prove valuable on the par 5's and short 4's (80:1 @ 5Dimes) Why not!!!

Brendan Steele- Finished T6 and T5 in 2013 & 2012 respectively. 72:1

Pat Perez- He's will be the highest finishing Sun Devil. 80:1 (Sorry Phil)

Always seeking mentors. Never ever, ever, give up.
Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 308
College Varsity
Not Ranked

Have a great time, Jotini. Sounds Super!  I like DeLaet, Moore, Colsaerts, and Perez.. all worth a small shot at the long price.

Thank you for saying hello and offering your opinion. I appreciate ya!

Peace,

Brady Kannon

@lasvegasgolfer

www.LVTeeTimes.com

bwizzle
Joined: 01/12/2011
Posts: 2011
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

great work Brady! Get back on track! hope you cash the tix!? Like the work also by Jotini...AND super jealous of the attending! being in the Boston area, i could use a little bit of the warmer temps! ENJOY! GLDK!

Bwizzle

Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 308
College Varsity
Not Ranked

Thank you, BW.  Let's have some fun, my friend!

Have a great weekend.

Johnny Detroit
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 23820
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

GL Brady. I played your picks. Better win ;)

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Jeff Scott Sports
Joined: 03/08/2008
Posts: 46540
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

Great stuff Brady, while I don't bet golf (yet) I do use the info you give for my fantasy team and I am learning more and more about golf thanks to you as well. Keep up the great work.

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Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 308
College Varsity
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Haha! I owe you a couple of winners at the very least - in exchange for the constant entertainment you provide on your Twitter feed. Classic.

Have fun, pro.  Root 'em home.

Brady Kannon
Joined: 03/06/2013
Posts: 308
College Varsity
Not Ranked

Thank you, Jeff. Greatly appreciate your support for all of us in the Pregame community. By the way, fantasy golf can be quite a bit different from picking head to head match ups - please feel free to holler at me anytime if you have questions or decisions to make regarding a golf tournament.

Keep hitting the ball, brother.  Have fun.

RAYMOND LAFLAMME
Joined: 04/01/2008
Posts: 924
Pro Draft Prospect
Not Ranked

bol, brady. however,i am not quite sold on leonard turning the corner but i have been wromg before, especially in these birdie fest tourneys

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