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CFB Vegas Rankings - Dedicated Thread for Week 10

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Thread Starter CFB Vegas Rankings - Dedicated Thread for Week 10
RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Tue, Oct 30 2012 8:14 AM

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.

HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.

BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.

POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:

Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).
To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:

Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does. 

CFB Vegas Rankings – Week 10

 

 

Hm
  Field

TRUE
  Power

Bettor
  Bias

Spread
  Power

1

Alabama

5

100

3

103

2

Oregon

6

95.5

2

97.5

3

Florida State

4

92.5

0

92.5

4

Kansas State

4.5

91

1

92

5

Florida

4

90.5

0

90.5

6

LSU

5

90

0

90

7

Oklahoma

5

89.5

0

89.5

t8

Notre Dame

4

89

2

91

t8

USC

3.5

89

0.5

89.5

10

Georgia

4

88.5

0

88.5

11

South Carolina

4.5

87

0

87

12

Clemson

5

86.5

0

86.5

t13

Oklahoma St

4.5

86

0

86

t13

Ohio State

5

86

1

87

15

Texas A&M

4.5

85.5

0

85.5

16

West Virginia

5

85

0

85

t17

Oregon State

4

82.5

0

82.5

t17

Nebraska

4.5

82.5

0

82.5

t17

Stanford

4.5

82.5

0

82.5

t20

Mississippi St

3.5

82

0

82

t20

Texas

4.5

82

0

82

22

Arizona State

4

81.5

0

81.5

t23

Boise State

5

81

0.5

81.5

t23

Texas Tech

4

81

0

81

25

North Carolina

4

80.5

0

80.5

Vegas Rankings voters include Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN, CBS This Morning, and CNBC for his professional betting success).

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com (@RJinVegas)

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RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Tue, Oct 30 2012 8:18 AM

Personal Rankings from Vegas Runner (@VegasRunner)

ALABAMA 5.5 101.5
OREGON 6 98.5
LSU 5 97
FLORIDA ST 4 97
FLORIDA 4.5 96
USC 4 96
OKLAHOMA 4.5 95.5
NOTRE DAME 4 94.5
KANSAS ST 4 94
SOUTH CAROLINA 4 93.5
OHIO ST 4.5 93
GEORGIA 4.5 92.5
CLEMSON 4.5 92
MICHIGAN 4 91
TEXAS 4.5 91
WEST VIRGINIA 4.5 90.5
TEXAS A&M 4.5 90
OKLAHOMA ST 4 90
STANFORD 5 90
NEBRASKA 4 89.5
MISSISSIPPI ST 3.5 89
LOUISVILLE 3.5 88
OREGON ST 3.5 88
NORTH CAROLINA 3.5 87.5
ARIZONA ST 4 87
TEXAS TECH 4 87
WISCONSIN 4.5 86
BOISE ST 5.5 86
LOUISIANA TECH 3.5 86
RUTGERS 3 86
MICHIGAN ST 4 85.5
TCU 4 85
NC STATE 3.5 85
CINCINNATI 3.5 85
TENNESSEE 4 85

 

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RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Tue, Oct 30 2012 8:20 AM

Personal Rankings from Chris Andrews (@AndrewsSports)
(alphabetical)

Air   Force 71 4
Akron 55 2
Alabama 102 5
Arizona 82 4
Arizona State 81 4
Arkansas 75 5
Arkansas State 68 4
Army 55 3
Auburn 62 4.5
Ball State 68 2
Baylor 76 3.5
Boise State 82 5
Boston College 63 4
Bowling Green 66 3
Buffalo 61 2.5
BYU 79 5
California 74 4.5
Central Florida 76 4.5
Central Michigan 61 3
Cincinnati 79 4
Clemson 86 5
Colorado 53 3.5
Colorado State 51 3
Duke 72 2
East Carolina 65 4
Eastern Michigan 56 2
Florida 91 4
Florida Atlantic 57 2
Florida International 66 3
Florida State 93 4
Fresno State 77 3.5
Georgia 88 4
Georgia Tech 72 4
Hawaii 46 5
Houston 68 4
Idaho 51 2.5
Illinois 61 3.5
Indiana 67 3
Iowa 70 4.5
Iowa State 78 3.5
Kansas 61 3
Kansas State 92 4.5
Kent State 71 2.5
Kentucky 61 3
Louisiana 69 3
Louisiana-Monroe 72 3.5
Louisiana Tech 78 4
Louisville 79 3.5
LSU 91 5
Maryland 63 1
Marshall 65 3.5
Massachusetts 45 2
Memphis 44 2
Miami, Fla 74 3
Miami, Ohio 60 3
Michigan 82 4.5
Michigan State 79 4.5
Middle Tennessee 62 3
Minnesota 67 3
Mississippi 77 3
Mississippi State 81 3.5
Missouri 72 4.5
Navy 71 3.5
Nebraska 82 4.5
Nevada 71 4.5
New Mexico 61 2
New Mexico State 49 2
North Carolina 80 4
NC State 76 4
North Texas 59 3
Northern Illinois 77 4
Northwestern 75 3
Notre Dame 89 4
Ohio U 69 3.5
Ohio State 85 5
Oklahoma 90 5.5
Oklahoma State 87 5
Oregon 97 6
Oregon State 83 4.5
Pitt 73 3.5
Penn State 77 5.5
Purdue 68 3.5
Rice 62 3
Rutgers 73 3.5
San Diego State 72 3
San Jose State 73 2.5
South Alabama 57 3
South Carolina 87 4.5
South Florida 70 4
Southern Miss 57 4.5
SMU 67 3
Stanford 81 4.5
Syracuse 73 3
TCU 78 5
Temple 64 3.5
Tennessee 78 4.5
Texas 80 4.5
Texas A&M 84 4.5
Texas State 55 2.5
Texas Tech 81 4
Toledo 71 3.5
Troy 64 4
Tulane 55 2
Tulsa 75 3.5
UAB 55 2.5
UCLA 80 4
U Conn 66 4
UNLV 58 3
USC 89 3
Utah 75 5
Utah State 79 3.5
UTEP 58 3.5
UTSA 50 3
Vanderbilt 74 3
Virginia 63 3
Virginia Tech 76 5.5
Wake Forest 64 3.5
Washington 76 3.5
Washington State 69 3.5
West Virginia 84 5
Western Kentucky 72 2
Western Michigan 65 3.5
Wisconsin 79 5.5
Wyoming 59 3

---

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RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Tue, Oct 30 2012 8:21 AM

Personal Rankings from Chris Andrews (@AndrewsSports)
(best to worst)

Alabama 102 5
Oregon 97 6
Florida State 93 4
Kansas State 92 4.5
Florida 91 4
LSU 91 5
Oklahoma 90 5.5
Notre Dame 89 4
USC 89 3
Georgia 88 4
Oklahoma State 87 5
South Carolina 87 4.5
Clemson 86 5
Ohio State 85 5
Texas A&M 84 4.5
West Virginia 84 5
Oregon State 83 4.5
Arizona 82 4
Boise State 82 5
Michigan 82 4.5
Nebraska 82 4.5
Arizona State 81 4
Mississippi State 81 3.5
Stanford 81 4.5
Texas Tech 81 4
North Carolina 80 4
Texas 80 4.5
UCLA 80 4
BYU 79 5
Cincinnati 79 4
Louisville 79 3.5
Michigan State 79 4.5
Utah State 79 3.5
Wisconsin 79 5.5
Iowa State 78 3.5
Louisiana Tech 78 4
TCU 78 5
Tennessee 78 4.5
Fresno State 77 3.5
Mississippi 77 3
Northern Illinois 77 4
Penn State 77 5.5
Baylor 76 3.5
Central Florida 76 4.5
NC State 76 4
Virginia Tech 76 5.5
Washington 76 3.5
Arkansas 75 5
Northwestern 75 3
Tulsa 75 3.5
Utah 75 5
California 74 4.5
Miami, Fla 74 3
Vanderbilt 74 3
Pitt 73 3.5
Rutgers 73 3.5
San Jose State 73 2.5
Syracuse 73 3
Duke 72 2
Georgia Tech 72 4
Louisiana-Monroe 72 3.5
Missouri 72 4.5
San Diego State 72 3
Western Kentucky 72 2
Air Force 71 4
Kent State 71 2.5
Navy 71 3.5
Nevada 71 4.5
Toledo 71 3.5
Iowa 70 4.5
South Florida 70 4
Louisiana 69 3
Ohio U 69 3.5
Washington State 69 3.5
Arkansas State 68 4
Ball State 68 2
Houston 68 4
Purdue 68 3.5
Indiana 67 3
Minnesota 67 3
SMU 67 3
Bowling Green 66 3
Florida International 66 3
U Conn 66 4
East Carolina 65 4
Marshall 65 3.5
Western Michigan 65 3.5
Temple 64 3.5
Troy 64 4
Wake Forest 64 3.5
Boston College 63 4
Maryland 63 1
Virginia 63 3
Auburn 62 4.5
Middle Tennessee 62 3
Rice 62 3
Buffalo 61 2.5
Central Michigan 61 3
Illinois 61 3.5
Kansas 61 3
Kentucky 61 3
New Mexico 61 2
Miami, Ohio 60 3
North Texas 59 3
Wyoming 59 3
UNLV 58 3
UTEP 58 3.5
Florida Atlantic 57 2
South Alabama 57 3
Southern Miss 57 4.5
Eastern Michigan 56 2
Akron 55 2
Army 55 3
Texas State 55 2.5
Tulane 55 2
UAB 55 2.5
Colorado 53 3.5
Colorado State 51 3
Idaho 51 2.5
UTSA 50 3
New Mexico State 49 2
Hawaii 46 5
Massachusetts 45 2
Memphis 44 2

---

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RJ_Bell
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Posted
on Tue, Oct 30 2012 8:30 AM

NFL Rankings here: pregame.com/.../1661824.aspx

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RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
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