Analysis: I do not agree with the initial move - and this IS with Fister pitching. I get that Fister COULD be high on adrenaline with the whole paternity thing - but he just can't be TOTALLY focused on a baseball, I wouldn't think. Even if he is, Toronto has had some success against him individually - albeit very small sample. Plus, Houston is in that dreaded first-game-back situation that I just don't like. Fister has been somewhat more hittable of late, and his splits show he's been far better on the road than at home. We've tried to fade Stroman once too often. He's more of a ground ball pitcher and that's the type Houston can have trouble against, seeing as how they're a HR hitting/scoring team more often than not. Houston's pen has been suspect lately - Toronto's is, if nothing else, stable. Valbuena is OUT for Houston, while Tulowitzki is questionable. He (Tulowitzki) hasn't done much with Fister, so it's not a deal-breaker if he's out. My only caveat here is that Brett Cecil MIGHT be unavailable having pitched in the last two games - leaving only Franklin Morales as a LHP out of the pen. Toronto is above .500 on the road - and far more effective this season against RHP - so we'll go with it.
I am waiting to make sure I'm not being a lemming taking the Brewers. That's surely where the money is but it's early in the betting cycle - and of course it's a late game so we've got time.I'm inclined to take the Fish RL against the Cubs, am still sorting out the Rays and the Royals (two teams I haven't got right very often) as I lean to the over there, but that's not an "over" ballpark. Still f'n pissed at Boston - but it's Seattle or nothing in that one - and more work to do in the NYY/NYM game.