Sunday’s free play went down as the Royals were somewhat surprisingly shut down by Rangers righty AJ Griffin and the Texas bullpen. I’ll try to rebound with a road dog on the Monday slate.
PHILLIES (Hellickson) at MARLINS (Cosart)
Take: PHILLIES +120
Miami is a good looking team right now, but the one liability that stats out is the back of the rotation. I don’t see Jarred Cosart being a solution. The righty has never put it together at this level, and he really hasn’t been especially effective of late at AAA with New Orleans.
So there’s a pretty substantial advantage here for Jeremy Hellickson, who has been rock solid recently for the Phillies. It’s also worth noting that Hellickson has had Miami’s number this year. He’s beaten the Marlins twice, and the Phils have won all three of his starts in the series this season.
If Hellickson can put together another decent effort here, I have to think that the road dog is plenty live as Cosart is clearly hittable. The price is somewhat reflective of the pitching disparity as it opened on the low side and got bet down a bit during the evening, but I still see reason to give the Phillies a roll here.
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