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12/17 04:00 PM CBB (725) ARKANSAS STATE at
(726) MISSISSIPPI STATE
Take: (726) MISSISSIPPI STATE -12.5
Is there such a thing as a good value spot on a double digit
favorite? Not very often, but I think one can make a case that
Mississippi State might be a bit of a bargain tonight as they host
The visiting Red Wolves are struggling thus far. Aside from some
decent offensive rebounding numbers, this team has been pretty
mediocre at almost everything. That's not a surprise, as Arkansas
State returned zero starters from last year's entry and head coach
John Brady is still trying to put together the right
combinations in advance of Sun Belt play.
Mississippi State is also having problems, and the Bulldogs are
probably going to have a rough go of it in SEC play. But this looks
to me to be a spot where there are some fairly compelling reasons
to chance laying some lumber with the home team.
It's the first home game for Mississippi State since November 24
and head coach Rick Ray made no bones about the fact his players
are looking forward to finally playing in Starkville. We're getting
the Bulldogs off three straight losses, so I would think there's
very little chance they won't be focused tonight.
Craig Sword is back in action for the Bulldogs following back
surgery that had kept him sidelined for the first seven games.
Sword admits that he's still got a ways to go with his
conditioning. But his mere presence on the floor makes Mississippi
State a better team. He's the best player on this roster and
Sword's ability to penetrate should definitely help the
Bulldogs increase their offensive efficiency.
This amounts to a right opponent at the right time scenario for
a Mississippi State team that really could use a win. It would
appear to be a good physical matchup for the Bulldogs and when I
think I'm going to get a concerted effort out of a home favorite, I
don't mind giving up some points. That's the case here and I'm
laying it tonight with Mississippi State.
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