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Dave Cokin
  • Two-time Nevada Sportscaster of the Year
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Dave Cokin Win Streaks

  • 19-10-1 CFB Win Streak
  • MLB: +32.5 units on the season
  • MLB (prior 4 years): +85 units
updated: October 23 at 9:13 AM PT

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Mirrored Conversation:
Posts made and displayed below are also automatically displayed within a dedicated forum thread. Replies (in the forum) to that dedicated thread are also displayed below - meaning the conversation is mirrored both here and there.

Last 5 Comments

(Post Comment)

Thu, Oct 23 2014
3:19 AM
No wednesday wiseguy report this week?
Dave Cokin
Sat, Oct 18 2014
10:11 PM

Sorry that didn't work out for you, but my strong recommendation is to play all the games and not just one.

Sat, Oct 18 2014
1:42 PM

bryan leonard had a good post a while ago about how even the best picks only win 66% of the time.  so that's 33% that will lose.

Sat, Oct 18 2014
1:41 PM

cokin has been on fire you cant complain just because he lost one pick

Sat, Oct 18 2014
1:08 PM
Nice UVA play.. I bought your picks for the second week in a row and the only game I got was UVA.. Thanks for the loser and keep your $10 coupon

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Sat, 10/25/14 - 3:30 PM Dave Cokin | CFB Side
free pick 122 Kentucky 13.5 (-110) vs 121 Mississippi St

10/25 12:30 PM   CF   (121) MISSISSIPPI STATE  at  (122) KENTUCKY


Let's leave no doubt that I think Mississippi State is completely legit and the Bulldogs definitely have a realistic chance of making the inaugural four-team playoff this season. But even the best teams have bad scheduling spots and I consider this to be exactly that for Dan Mullen's red hot entry.

This isn't an opinion, it's a fact. About the worst thing that can happen for an unbeaten team once the midway point of the season has been reached is a bye week. That might not seem logical on the surface, but the numbers don't lie, and unbeaten road teams with rest have a tendency to struggle.

I think there's a rationale for this taking place. First, the bye week can be a momentum breaker for a red hot team. It's also an opportunity for the players to enjoy a heavy dose of hero worship on campus, while also dreaming about that pot of gold that's waiting at the end of the proverbial rainbow. Don't discount pressclippingitis as a potential distraction as well.

The aforementioned potholes have gotten the best of teams far more used to the spotlight than Mississippi State. This is a great story unfolding in Starkville, but it's also very unexpected and brand new. So my sense is that as dominant as the Bulldogs have been, they could be ultra-vulnerable to having their collective heads in the clouds.

Kentucky got absolutely crushed last Saturday. The Wildcats are now being looked upon as little more than a formality win for Mississippi State by virtually all of the TV talking heads. I see that making Kentucky more dangerous. The no respect angle will be in play in Lexington all week in practice and off the disaster at Baton Rouge, this is also a redemption game for the Wildcats.

I can't see Kentucky being quite good enough to pull the upset here. But I do think they're good enough to make this a very scary Saturday for the heavy favorite. The Wildcats are 5-0 at home, including a nice win against South Carolina, and I believe that should eliminate the intimidation factor. The home team needs to get last week's misfire out of its heads in a hurry, so a good start here is important. If Kentucky falls down early they could get rolled by the Bulldogs.

But the bottom line for me is that there's a clear and irrefutable track record of big favorites failing in this specific scenario, and I feel that could well take place here. Kentucky in the plus two-TD neighborhood is very playable.


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Sat, 10/25/14 - 10:00 PM Dave Cokin | CFB Side
free pick 175 Southern Cal 1.0 (-110) vs 176 Utah

10/25 04:00 PM   CF   (175) USC  at  (176) UTAH

FREE PICK: (175) USC -1

I see USC/Utah as one of the most intriguing matchups on the Saturday college slate. I don't think either team is a true Top 20 entry, but each side is knocking on that door and this game is huge as far as the PAC-12 South race is concerned.

The Trojans have the athletes to give Utah fits in this game, and I think that's one of the two big keys to this game. USC needs to do whatever it takes to speed things upland get Utah out of its comfort zone. The more wide open, the better from USC's vantage point.

Utah, on the other hand, would prefer trench warfare. The Utes are in good shape if they can get first down stops. That would likely enable their outstanding pass rush to at least contain Trojans QB Cody Kessler.

Kessler is having a great year for USC. He's accurate with his throws and I've been really impressed with his willingness to not force bad throws that lead to turnovers. But that could change if Utah is able to exert its usual pressure. To accomplish that, the Utes must find a way to limit Javorius Allen, who's rumbling for more than six yards per pop.

Utah needs to establish its running game to sustain some productive drives against USC. I think that's something they can do, as Devontae Booker is running ball very well. QB Travis Wilson can manage the offense effectively in reasonable yardage situations.

So it's a guessing game of sorts as to how this plays out in terms of each team accomplishing its main objectives. My take is that in the end, the athletic superiority of the Trojans will be the difference. My greatest concern is Kyle Whittingham. The Utah coach is a terrific game planner and he successfully overcame the speed disadvantage in an impressive win at UCLA. But the Bruins were undisciplined with their assignments throughout that game, and I thought they lost the game more than Utah won it.

With the game being lined where it is, it's probably a good assumption that this one could go right to the wire. But I'm siding with the view that Allen can produce enough on the ground to enable the very talented Kessler to carve up the Utah secondary and lessen the impact of that Utah pass rush. I'll opt to side with USC as the winner in what should be one of the day's best games.


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