The free play on the Yankees didn’t work out, snapping a nice little win streak on the comps. I’m looking ahead to a Saturday college game for today’s selection.
377 TEXAS STATE @ 378 UL-LAFAYETTE
Take: TEXAS STATE +4
Of all the games on this Saturday’s big slate of college action, here’s one that not a whole lotta folks will give a hoot about. But I think there are some decent reasons to get involved here and I’ve already made my wager on the underdog.
Texas State has a pretty nice scheduling edge coming into this game. The Bobcats had last week off, and they also have next week off. So focus for this game should not be a problem.
Quite a bit has transpired since Texas State last played. Their defensive coordinator resigned and Head Coach Dennis Franchione’s son Brad is now running the stop unit. Reports are that the players have bought in to a few subtle scheme changes taking place and that the practices have been really good. That’s encouraging, as the Texas State defense to date this season has been abysmal, to put it mildly. This is a team with designs on getting to a bowl this year. To accomplish that feat, a game like this one is enormous for the Bobcats and I’m excited about their apparent approach to Saturday’s clash.
UL Lafayette is down substantially from last year and they’re off two bad games. The Cajuns were destroyed two weeks ago at home by Akron, and they were on the receiving end of another lopsided loss last week at Louisiana Tech. Let’s just say there’s little on the ULL ledger of late to inspire a great deal of confidence.
I have Texas State as the slightly better team on paper. Of course, this isn’t getting played on paper and the Bobcats have to show some better defense than we’ve seen from them to date. But I do expect a bit of a spike with the coordinator change and if that results in a few more stops, then Texas State will have an excellent chance to win this game. There’s every reason to believe Texas State will be the fresher team and I don’t mind at all the fact they’re out to avenge a blowout loss at home to these Cajuns last season.
Whenever dealing with a pair of teams outside the Top 100 on the ratings, anything can happen as that’s just the way it is with well below average teams. But the sharp side here appears to be Texas State and I’m grabbing the available points with the Bobcats in this game.
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My 3* MLB Total MAX BET goes tonight.