The 2012 Homerun Derby takes place this year at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City Missouri on Monday, July 9th and can be seen on MLB.com and ESPN with a start time of 8 p.m. ET. Betting on the home run derby can be an absolute blast and can also be very profitable as well! You need to take into consideration the ball park, and each of participants past in that particular park. Like with any betting proposition, you need to analyze the odds posted on each contender and determine if a wager has any value. Most of the time, the odds on all the participants start around 5/1 and up, so there's the potential for a nice payoff betting on the homerun derby. Posted below are the current odds for the 2012 Home Run Derby (Sportsbook.com).
Monday's Home Run Derby has Toronto's Jose Bautista (+250) as the favorite on the MLB props board at Sportsbook.com. Jose currently leads the league in Hormers at 27, but in his career he has just 2 Hr's in 79 AB's at Kauffman Stadium.
Following Jose is Last years winner Robinson Cano (+350). Robinson has been on quite a tear of late and he is second on the Yankees with 20 HR's for the year. Cano has 115 career AB's in this park, but just 3 of them have been HR's.
Next we find Prince Fielder (+400). Prince has just 14 HR's on the year so far. after averaging 38 HR's a year in his last 6 years with the Brewers. In just 29 AB's Prince has never homered here.
Next on the list is Mark Trumbo (+450) and what a year he is having with 21 dingers so far after hitting just 29 HR's all of last year. In his short career he has just 25 AB's in this stadium and has 1 HR.
Matt Kemp (+500) is next and despite spending alot of time on the DL so far he does lead the Dodgers with 12 HR's, which is the least amount of HR's from any entrant this year. Matt has never hit in this staduim.
Carlos Beltran (+550) is really helping St Louis fans forget about Albert Pujols, as he has 20 HR's on the year so far. Carlos opened his career playing for the Royals, but until this year he hadn't hit in this park since 2004. He has 61 career HR's at Kauffman Stadium, including 1 HR there in 15 AB's.
Carlos Gonzalez (+600) is next and he is quietly having a good year, with 17 HR's. Carlos has 94 Hr's in his career but just 30 of them have been away from the thin air of Coors Field. Carlos has just 4 AB's in this park, with no HR's.
Lasty we have a late entry, as Andrew McCutchen (+800) has been added to replace the injured Giancarlo Stanton, who may be out for 6 weeks. Andrew has been the lone offensive star for the surprising Pittsburgh Pirates and he enters the derby with 16 HR's after hitting just 23 all of last year. He has never had an AB in this stadium.
PREDICTION: At the Beginning of the year i stated that I felt the St Louis Cardinals would be just fine offensively, thanks to the presence of Carlos Beltran. And boy has he delivered with 20 HR's and 65 RBI's. Carlos has played in this stadium before and I feel that will give him an edge this year he has just 15 AB's here but with 1 HR, so he does remember how to hit here, even though he hadn't hit in this park since 2004. He's a long shot, but I will go wiith Carlos to win the 2012 Home Run Derby.
Last 5 Home Run Derby Winners
2011 Robinson Cano (Chase Field)
2010 David Ortiz (Angel Stadium)
2009 Prince Fielder (Busch Stadium)
2008 Justin Morneau (Yankee Stadium)
2007 Vladimir Guerrero (A&T Park)
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