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    09/07/2011 10:47 PM
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College Football Power 6 Conference by Conference Bowl Trends

Ok I know it's a bit late as some of the bowls have started but let's take a look at how the Power 6 conferences have stacked up in the recent past during Bowl Season. 

The SEC is lauded as the best football conference year in and year out, but does that make the teams for that league the safest wagers? The Acc is maligned on a national scale, but those teams do very well in certain bowl game spots. Here is a breakdown of league by league betting angles you may want to consider as you analyze each game.



ATLANTIC COAST

Back in 2010-2011 the ACC sent 9 teams to a bowl game and this year they will send 8. Three of them will be paying as favorites, while five will be in the role of a dog. This year's representative in a BCS bowl is once again Virgini Tech as they take on Michigan in the Sugar Bowl.

Underdogs have nearly automatic in ACC bowl games of late. Including last vyears 4-2 ATS mark, dogs have gone 31-15-1 ATS (67%) in the last 47 games. Over the last 4 years that Dog record is 251-2-1 ATS (68%)

ACC Favorites are just 9-11 SU and 6-14 ATS the last 5 Seasons

Against non-BCS conferences the ACC has been involved in some high scoring games, going 9-5 Over in the last 14 games, with a total average of 54;.9 ppg being scored. Versus other BCS schools the ACC has played low scoring games with the Under going 8-20 in the last 28 games, which includes a 2-3 Under mark last year. Those games produced less than 45 ppg. 

The ACC has enjoyed bowl game success vs the big East (17-12 SU & 19-9-1 ATS) and the PAC-10/12 (5-4 SU & 6-3 ATS the last 9). Now last year the ACC did go 2-0 SU & ATS vs the SEC, but they have gone just 8-19 SU and 10-15-2 ATS vs them since 1996.


BIG EAST

The Big east will send 5 teams to bowl games this year and two of this years best bowl matchups will be vs the ACC and that has proven difficult in recent years (See Above). 

Including 4-1 ATS last year the Big East is just 23-24-1 ATS since 2002. However they have won 21 of their last 29 SU.

Favored teams have been the most profitable side in recent Big East bowl games, going 29-11 SU and 23-16-1 ATS, since 2003. During that span, Big East teams are 17-4 SU and 12--8-1 ATS as chalk and 8-12 SU and 9-11 ATS as a dog.

As dogs of 4.5 or more in bowl games, Big East teams have struggled mightily with a 4-16 SU mark and 5-15 ATS since 1994. As double digit dogs the Big East is 0-7 ATS and have been outscored 288-100.


BIG 10

For the 4th straight year, Big 10 teams are dogs in the majority of their bowl games. In the previous 3 seasons Big Ten teams have been dogs in 18 of 22 games, while this year Big 10 teams are dogs in 6 of 9 games. History shows that laying points in Big 10 bowl games has not been a profitable strategy.

Since 200, Big 10 teams area dismal 7-20 ATS in the role of a favorite.The bigger the line the worse they are also as they have lost their last 11 ATS as a favorite of 5.5 or more.

Last year Favorites in games involving the Big 10 were 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS, making it a 4 year mark of 23-7 SU and 16-14 ATS.

Since 1998 the Big 10 has has gone 24-12-1 ATS as dogs of 4 or more, despite last years 1-2 ATS mark.


BIG 12

Of the 9 Big 12 teams going bowling this year, six are favorites, with 3 of those teams being favored by more than a TD--- Oklahoma -14 vs Iowa, Texas A&M -10 vs Northwestern and Baylor -9.5 vs Washington. As you'll read below, large Big 12 favorites are not a good bet.

13 of 23 bowl games involving big 12 teams over the last 2 seasons have gone under the total. The Over had been 18-8 in the previous 26 games.

Avoid laying a TD or more with Big 12 teams as they are just 7-20-1 ATS in that situation since 1998.

Big 12 dogs were 0-2 SU & ATS last  year, but in the last 7 years, Big 12 bowl dogs have gone 23-20 ATS.

Bowl games pitting the Big 12 vs the Big 10 have been dominated by the dog, as that team is 17-9 ATS in the last 26 such games. Also in Big 12 vs PAC10/12 bowl games the dog is a solid 16-6 ATS since 1998.

PAC-12

The PAC-12 representation has increased from 4 to 7 teams this year, with UCLA coming in with a losing record (6-7). Unfortunately for Pac-12 lovers Oregon is the only team favored team of 7+ this year and Pac-12 favorites have gone 10-5 ATS the last 4 bowl seasons. 

As bowl dogs the Pac-12 is 13-16 SU, but a very nice 22-7 ATS since 1997. When getting 5.5 points or more the record is a sparkling 15-1 ATS, since 1996. 

Laying big wood is not something you'll want to do with Pac-12 teams as Pac 10 faves of more than a TD are just 5-14 ATS the last 19 games. 

The Pac -12 has not fared well vs non-BCS schools, posting a 6-15 ATS mark the last 21 games.


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE

The SEC is sending 9 teams to bowl games this year after sending 10 teams te last 2 years. last year vteh SEC was favored in 7 of 10 bowls, but only went 5-5 SU and ATS. This year all nine teams are facing opponents from the power conferences.

In the last 6 years of bowl games, the SECis 30-16 SU and 27-18-1 ATS.

Although SEC dogs were just 1-2 the last 2 bowl seasons, the conference is still a solid 28-15 ATS as bowl dogs. The Under has gone 27-15-1 in these games, including 3-0 last year.

SEC dogs of 4.5 or more have gone a nice and tidy 15-5 ATS since 1999.

The SEC has been matched up against non-BCS schools just 9 times in the last 19 years, going 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS.

The SEC has gone just 1-7 SU & ATS vs the Big East. 


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