Sat, Aug 20 2016
I want to thank those who tailed me on my Diamondbacks Friday play. It was my Second Half Game of the Year. It also turned out to be my most frustrating loss of the season as the Diamondbacks lost in extra innings to the Padres.
I had been eyeing Zack Greinke in this series and was delighted to find out he would be pitching against Jarred Cosart. I jumped on the Diamondbacks when the line first came out beating the closing number by 15 cents.
This was my writeup on the game:
"I love the Diamondbacks here because the price doesn't reflect what a huge starting pitching edge Arizona has with Zack Greinke facing Jarred Cosart.
"Perhaps the oddsmaker is influenced by Greinke's last start, which could have been the worst of his career. He surrendered nine earned runs on 10 hits in less than two innings this past Sunday. That was against the Red Sox, the best offensive team in baseball. Greinke had won nine consecutive decisions until that game.
"I see the prideful Greinke coming back strong here against a much weaker opponent. The numbers certainly favor Greinke in a big way. His teams are 30-7 during the past two years for a winning percentage of 81 percent. Discount that Red Sox debacle and Greinke's road ERA is 2.14 this season and Arizona is 8-0 in his last eight road outings.
"Greinke has a strong history, too, against San Diego with a 7-1 career mark and 1.91 ERA in 14 starts.
"Cosart probably shouldn't even be in a big league rotation. He has a 5.03 ERA and has more walks than strikeouts. Cosart began the season with the Marlins, who demoted him after he posted a 5.95 ERA in four starts. Cosart didn't fare that much better in the minors with a 4.09 ERA and a losing record.
"The desperate Padres picked him up. Cosart actually pitched well in his last start. So that may be a reason why this line is much lower than I anticipated. I can't see Cosart putting together back-to-back strong performances. The Diamondbacks are swinging hot bats scoring 36 runs in their last four games.
"The Diamondbacks have won five of the past eight times at Petco Park and are two games under .500 on the road while the Padres are two games below .500 at home."
I understand this doesn't matter to those who lost on the Diamondbacks. Nor does it matter that Greinke's night was finished after seven innings and a 4-2 lead going into the bottom of the eighth inning. Nor that Cosart went less than six innings giving up eight hits and two walks. Arizona out-hit the Padres and stole five more bases. The Diamondbacks left a staggering 15 men on base.
I stand by the handicap. But it lost so I own it and it tears me up inside.