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978 ANA / 977 DET Over 8.5 Pinnacle
dime bet
Analysis:
9:05pm ET / 6:05pm ET
#977-978
DETROIT TIGERS w/ Norris @ LOS ANGELES ANGELS w/ Nolasco
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
In Game Three, we’ll be heading out to the coast as the Angels host the Tigers (one of the best OVER teams in the league) in Game Three of their 4-game set. As is always the case, our first look is at the ‘Man in Blue’. And that would be MIKE MUCHLINSKI… who is tied with Bill Welke for BEST ‘Over’ Umpire in the league so far after six weeks. Muchlinski comes in with a record of 6-1 O/U in the 2017 season. Even MORE ‘Over-whelming’ is his average runs per game. His number of 12.1 combined runs per game also puts him right at the tip. He’s one of only FOUR full-time Major League Baseball Umpires who are averaging 12 or more runs per game. His last three games (since late April) have seen 16 runs… 12 runs… and 11 runs. He’s also gone 70% OVER the Total on SATURDAYS dating back to last season. In terms of the pitching matchup, we’re good to go in regards to the Tigers. That’s because southpaw Daniel Norris is 4-2 O/U on the season… has an ERA of 5.52 in his last three starts… and has gone a PERFECT 3-0 O/U on the ROAD this season. In fact, dating back to last year… Norris has gone 7-0-1 O/U in his last eight ROAD starts. And to help us out, the ANGES have gone 4-1 O/U in their last five starts versus lefties. On the flip side, we acknowledge that Rocky Nolasco has had a decent start to the 2017 season, with an ERA of 3.71. But with that said, he’s been a worse pitcher at HOME (4.32 ERA and 67% OVERS). Not only that, but he has been prone to the Gopher Ball this season, which is not a good sign against the hard-hitting Tigers. In his seven starts this year, Nolasco has give upTWO or more home runs in FIVE of those starts
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