Analysis:
Western Conference Semifinals
9:00pm ET / 6:00pm ET
#701-702
Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL (optimum line: 206.5 or less)
We’re hitting BOTH sides of tonight’s Game Four of the Golden State Warriors / Utah Jazz game. Based on our database querying, it’s gonna be the UNDERDOG and the OVER. One can consider making this a 2-team PARLAY. Or another alternative could be a 2-team / 4-point TEASER in which we take UTAH all the way up to +13 points, and the OU line down to 202.5 points.For our official grading purposes with our monitor (Sports Monitor of Oklahoma), we are officially going with a 2** Play on the JAZZ… and a 1* Play on the OVER.
Looking at the OU PLAY…
It started with yesterday’s action. There were three ‘2.4’ games (Round 2 / Game 4) on the Sunday schedule… and ALL THREE of those games (Cavs @ Raptors / Celtics @ Wizards / Spurs @ Rockets) went OVER the TOTAL… and by an average margin of +8.8 points per game.
MONDAY’s have been a pretty good Day of the Week for OVERS…
Already THIS post-season, MONDAY Playoff game shave gone 5-1 O/U when the OU Line was 190 or more points. And in the last 10 years, MONDAY home underdogs of > 4 points (JAZZ) have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U.
Since early MARCH of THIS season, h-u-g-e road favorites of -8 or more points (WARRIORS) have gone 10-1 O/U…
In the NBA Playoffs, All GAME FOUR (in any round) home underdogs of > 4 points have gone 12-2 O/U in the last three seasons.
14-3 O/U since 2011 / 8-1 O/U last 5 years: All NBA Playoff favorites of > 1 point and < 10 points (WARRIORS) off a SU Playoff double-digit road win in which the scored 102 or LESS points and that game went Under the Total.
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Pick Made: May 8 2017 9:28AM PST