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724 E. Mich (-140) Pinnacle vs 723 Ohio
dime bet
Analysis:I think we have to - you can buy to -2 if you want. They beat Ohio in Ohio this season and are going to do it again. The old adage about taking the home team on a revenge mission isn't quite as simple as it once was. That stuff's built into the line more often than not, whereas it didn't used to be. What we're seeing here is an EMU team that's somewhat better than advertised and an Ohio team that perhaps less than theuir record - due to a huge non-conference scheduling difference. Since beating Buffalo on the road back in early January, Ohio hasn't won a decent road game. They've won a few, but Ball State is the best road win since, and that was a two-point affair last week. Ohio is going to live and die by the three-ball, and most know I like to fade those teams away from their own gym. EMU is the #1 team in the conference at forcing turnovers, they've got a huge length advantage, which will show up big on offense - especially as they get the home calls and live at the line. They are a very good FT shooting team - Kamisnksy (Ohio) has been banged up, but playing, and he can't win it alone (IMHO) - if he gets in foul trouble, they're REALLY in trouble - and since losing Antonio Campbell Ohio is a 4-4 team. Can't take them here.Pick Made: Feb 14 2017 8:09AM PST
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