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526 Valparaiso -4.0 (-106) Pinnacle vs 525 Oakland, Mich
double-dime bet
Analysis:This is a very competitive game on paper. But for me the difference is that Oakland always seems to have trouble getting over the hump in their biggest games, while Valpo has a history in conference of winning these types. One difference maker for me on this game is strength of schedule. The stat matchup between the Grizzlies and Crusaders is close. But Oakland played the #300 non-conference schedule, while Valpo accrued their data against the #128 rated slate. Whichever team is up late will have a very good chance to extend as these two are both money from the foul line. I've got to be convinced Oakland can win a really meaningful game. More faith in Valparaiso so I'll spot the number here.Pick Made: Jan 5 2017 10:28PM PST
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