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966 BAL 1.5 (-140) Pinnacle vs 965 BOS
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing BALTIMORE on the run-line (+1.5 runs) I really like the O's chances of winning "outright." However, I like their chances at +1.5 even better and am willing to lay what I feel is a reasonable number to get that line. Both teams saw yesterdays game decided by a single run. Baltimore won 2-1. Boston won 5-4. Note that the Sox are off an emotional comeback against hated NY last night, which completed a sweep. Even though the travel is minimal, that schedule could well favor Baltimore. While Porcello is obviously having a great year, Bundy is 4-2 with a stellar 2.67 ERA and 1.01 WHIP here at home. Porcello just faced the O's in his last start. The result was a 1-run game. (The previous day, Bundy beat the Sox 6-3 at Fenway.) While the Sox are off b2b 1-run games, the O's have now seen four of their last five decided by a single run. Another "close one" won't surprise.
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