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910 CLE (-152) Pinnacle vs 909 HOU
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on CLEVELAND. After dropping the first two games of this set, the Indians won yesterday's game. They should have an excellent shot at salvaging the series split this afternoon. Bauer is in excellent current form. Last time out, he allowed three runs, on only four hits, through 8 1/3 innings. In his previous start, he tossed six shutout innings. The Indians won those games by scores of 1-0 and 8-3. Bauer has a solid 3.76 ERA and 1.257 WHIP on the season, the Indians winning nine of his 12 home starts. Admittedly, Paulino, a big hard-throwing right-hander, has some decent minor league stats. Still, this is his major league debut and he's up against an Indian team which averages a whopping 5.7 rpg in this park, hitting an outstanding .292 here as a team. Given that Bauer is 4-0 with a dominating 0.67 ERA in four career starts vs Houston, I'm backing the Tribe.
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