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926 ANA (-140) 5Dimes vs 925 CIN
double-dime bet
Analysis:Cincinnati will begin a 3-game series in Los Angeles against the Angels on Monday night. The Reds will send Dan Straily to the mound who has a terrible 6.69 ERA and 1.57 WHIP against the Angels during his career. My numbers project another poor outing for Straily against the Los Angeles lineup this evening. Straily projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a weak 4.49 ERA in this game. The right-hander has pitched much better at home than on the road this season. At home, Straily is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. On the road, Straily is just 5-5 with a 4.27 ERA this year. He is backed by a terrible Cincinnati bullpen that has a horrible 5.05 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road this season. Straily has been roughed-up by the Los Angeles lineup in the past. The Angels have hit .395 (15-for-38) with an incredible 1.008 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Straily during his career. Los Angeles enters in solid current form, going 4-1 in their past five games while scoring 24 total runs (4.8 runs per game).The Angels will start Matt Shoemaker who has a solid 3.10 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in his 11 home starts this season. Shoemaker projects to have a fantastic outing against Cincinnati’s lineup based on my numbers. The right-hander is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a terrific 3.12 ERA and an excellent 1.12 WHIP in this game. Shoemaker also projects to have a strong 8.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a tremendous 4.2 strikeout/walk ratio tonight. Shoemaker comes into this game in outstanding current form; he has allowed just 2 earned runs in his past two starts (13 innings) for a 1.38 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. We’ll back Los Angeles with Shoemaker on the mound in this game on Monday night.
2* Play ANGELS (-).
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