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912 SFG (-170) Pinnacle vs 911 NYM
dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on SAN FRANCISCO. I won with the Giants yesterday and I knew I liked them again with Cueto today. I wasn't prepared to go against Matz though. He'd been off b2b quality starts and was dominant last time out. However, with Lugo now getting the call instead of Latz, I expect Cueto and co. to enjoy a considerable advantage.
While he didn't factor in the decision, Cueto got back on track with a quality start last time out. Even after slowing down a little of late, he's still an outstanding 13-3 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.086 WHIP on the season. At home, his ERA dips to 2.74, his WHIP to 1.037. Cueto has pitched very well his last few starts against the Mets, too. He last faced them last October and tossed a complete game 2-hitter, beating DeGrom by a 7-1 score. In his last 22 innings against NY, Cueto has allowed only four runs. While Lugo has pitched well in relief this season, this is his first start. He's facing a determined Giants lineup which got back on track with 10 runs last night.
The Giants average 4.5 rpg game at home compared to NY's 3.8 rpg on the road. I think the Giants still believe in their season and I don't think the same can be said of the Mets. I'm expecting another big win for the home team.
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