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956 BAL / 955 TOR Over 8 Pinnacle
dime bet
Analysis:
Baltimore will host Toronto for a 4-game series beginning on Monday night. The Orioles will start Chris Tillman who is 10-11 with a poor 4.94 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in his 29 starts this season. He has allowed 10 runs in his last three outings with a weak 5.29 ERA. In his last three starts against Toronto this season, Tillman has given up 17 runs on 23 hits in just 11 innings of work for a horrendous 13.91 ERA and 2.27 WHIP. All three of those games went Over the total. Jose Bautista (10-36), Josh Donaldson (7-20), Edwin Encarnacion (15-46), Russell Martin (4-8), Kevin Pillar (5-13) and Dioner Navarro (6-18) have all had success versus Tillman. The Blue Jays have scored 4 runs or more in six straight games, and in ten of their last eleven games overall. Toronto has been a fantastic offensive team all season and they average 5.4 runs per game on the road where they have gone 42-26 to the Over.Toronto will start Marco Estrada in this game. Estrada’s major issue this season has been his inability to pitch deep into ballgames, especially on the road. Estrada is lasting an average of less than six innings per start away from Toronto. That means an inconsistent Toronto bullpen will probably see extra work tonight. The Blue Jays’ bullpen has 25 losses and 20 blown saves this season. Baltimore’s offense struggled at Boston this past weekend as they finished a ten-game road trip, however the Orioles should play better at home tonight where they are averaging 5.0 runs per game this season. These two teams are 9-6 to the Over in 15 meetings this year. Look for a high-scoring game between the Blue Jays and Orioles on Monday night.1* Play OVER the total (Blue Jays/Orioles).
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