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197 Pittsburgh 6.0 (-110) Sportsbook vs 198 Iowa
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Analysis:
Pittsburgh comes into this game with a perfect 2-0 record, but the team is getting little respect as of right now. The Panthers were 6.5-point home favorites over Iowa last season, but they lost that game 24-20 despite out-yarding the Hawkeyes 435-311. Now Pittsburgh will play in Iowa in the return game, and they are getting +5.5 which equates to a 12-point line move. That’s way too much considering the two teams are quite similar to last year. Pittsburgh is in their first year under new head coach Pat Narduzzi who was the Michigan State defensive coordinator for the past eight seasons. Narduzzi created one of the best defenses in the country in East Lansing, and he’s very familiar with Big 10 member Iowa. Narduzzi’s defenses have held the Hawkeyes to just 14, 19, and 21 points the last three meetings. Pittsburgh shut down Akron last week, holding them to just 7 points, 8 first downs, and 110 total yards , so they are quite capable of holding Iowa in check in this game.
Iowa also comes into this game with a 2-0 record; the Hawkeyes beat FCS Illinois State 31-14 and rival Iowa State 31-17. Iowa hasn’t been challenged yet, but they will be severely tested on both sides of the ball in this game against Pittsburgh. The Hawkeyes and Panthers are built in a similar way as they both like to run the ball while playing physical defense. When teams that fit that profile play, we often see a low-scoring defensive scrum with points at a minimum. That was exactly the case in last year’s meeting that only had a total of 44 points scored. The posted total on this game is currently 47, so we’re expected to see a similar outcome to last year’s game in Pittsburgh. These two teams are even across the board, so we’ll take the points in a game that comes right down to the wire.
1* Play PITTSBURGH (+).
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