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960 COL / 959 ARI Over 10.5 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Analysis:
Arizona will begin a 4-game series in Colorado on Monday night. The Diamondbacks will start Robbie Ray who is 3-10 with a mediocre 3.86 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in sixteen starts for Arizona this season. Ray comes into this game in poor current form; he has allowed 12 runs and 18 hits in his last three starts. In his last 13.1 innings of work, Ray has given up 12 earned runs on 18 hits with a terrible 8/11 strikeout/walk ratio. Ray earned a horrendous 8.10 ERA and an ugly 2.18 WHIP in those outings. Colorado is hitting .300 at home where they average 5.4 runs per game. The Rockies are 30-17-2 to the Over while averaging 4.6 runs per game versus divisional opponents this season.
Colorado will start Chad Bettis in this game. Bettis owns a terrible 5.18 ERA and an ugly 1.48 WHIP in seven home starts for the Rockies this season. Bettis has given up 23 earned runs on 44 hits in 40 innings pitched in Coors Field this season. Arizona’s offense has been terrific in their recent road games. The Diamondbacks have scored 35 total runs in their last six games away from home. Overall, Arizona is averaging 4.5 runs per game on the road this season. Against divisional opponents, the Diamondbacks are averaging 4.7 runs per game. Colorado’s bullpen is 12-15 with a horrendous 5.25 ERA and a poor 1.55 WHIP at home, so Bettis has little support on the backend. These two teams are 8-4 to the Over in their last 12 meetings, and that trend will continue here. We expect a high-scoring game between the Diamondbacks and Rockies on Monday night.
2* Play OVER the total.
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