Analysis:
We're in trouble here. Knew if when Billy Burn rob a HR and doubles a guy off of first in the first.....things (the little ones that matter) are not falling right as they did the last two days. Plenty of game(s) left - however - I have seen this movie a million times.....
Hate the last line move(s) here quite a bit - what's done is done - just like last night, we did the work. IMO it's due to no Derrick Norris - which I was hoping wouldn't happen, but suspected it would. Over reaction. And of course no Vogt for the A's. Billy Butler will have to suffice and it's another great PH option later. This one may struggle early, so ANY we can get in the first three (through the batting order) will be bonus runs.
Not hesitating here. I like San Diego MUCH better against left handed pitching - they're actually 10-3 to the over and I said before the season started they brought in help against lefties but perhaps regresses against righties - and that's been the case. Kazmir shut down Texas on one hit - but that's one game. He's been far more hittable on the road - and all six of his HR's allowed have come on the road and in only 35 innings. The Padres get their 3 runs here. Cashner has been horrid - he's given up three or more runs in four straight starts. He's given up a bomb in all four of those games. We like Oakland better against RHP's (see last night). Oakland MAY take a time through the order because they haven't seen him - but they were 8-23 with RISP last night. TWENTY THREE. You can regress, but how much? Day game so the ball travel better (usually). Tripp Gibson behind the plate - on the surface is an "under" umpire this season, but the list of parks he's umpired in and starters he's had would suggest nothing else. I'll spare you the list - and both teams should get their three runs here, making this a winner. I am hoping that Norris will catch one more game - and not Austin Hedges. However - we can't have everything. Likewise for Vogt - but at least Phegley can hit a little - and Vogt should at least play first, which gets Muncy (who I do not like) out of the equation. Worst case - Norris off the bench is a great stick. We'll see what happens.
FWIW - the $ says the A's are winner, too. I am not adding a third day game in the system.
I had to follow that steam on the over at 7 - there was no chance of putting it in as a play......very small.
Pick Made: Jun 16 2015 4:44AM PST