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977 ANA 1.5 (-115) Pinnacle vs 978 LOS
double-dime bet
Analysis:
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET
Sport: MLB
Rotation #977
Bet: LA ANGELS +1.5 -115
List Santiago & Kershaw
Amount: 2 Units (Normal-sized Bet)
I know. We're going against a very dominant Clayton Kershaw in this one. A few things to keep in mind. First, the Angels are a very good offensive club & they're even better against lefties. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are one of the league's worst teams against lefties & they'll have to contend with southpaw Hector Santiago tonight. Santiago has been sharp lately & he's allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last eight starts. Active Dodgers hitters have just six combined at-bats against Santiago (one single), so the Angels lefty should enjoy an early-game edge. On the flip side, Pujols has hit Kershaw very well (1.176 OPS in 23 PA), as has Kendrick (.833 OPS in 12 PA) & Iannetta (.812 OPS in 23 PA). Kershaw's K/BB ratio against active Angels hitters is just 16/14. The Angels pen has pitched pretty well recently, which clinches this for me.
Bottom line: The Angels hitters have a few hitters that have had success against Kershaw, while Dodgers hitters are unfamiliar with Santiago for the most part. Add to that the discrepancy in success against lefties by these two teams & the fact that the Angels are the better offensive club and I see no reason why the Halos can't at least keep this one close. Getting +1.5 in a game with a total of just 6 (at some shops) is a pretty solid bet, especially in this case. Regular 2-Unit bet on the ANGELS +1.5.
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