The following article is from Stan Sharp as told to (and posted by) a Pregame.com staff writer. We have convinced Stan to sit for an occassional interview that we'd convert into an article.
The following was supplied to us from Stan Sharp as this is taken from Stan's actual worksheet and notes that he starts his handicapping week from. Every Week Stan goes to one of the prominent Casinos here in Las Vegas to see their Opening Number then he monitors what happens with their line both here in Las Vegas and Offshore and dissects what the move is and what it may mean.
Virgin Football Line Moves: Week of September 24thNorthwestern opened -1, now -2.5 vs. Minnesota
Stan says: "Interesting that both played Syracuse. Minnesota beat them while Northwestern lost to them and yet the early money has come in on Northwestern anyway."
Michigan opened -18, now -20 vs. IndianaStan says: "Looks like all the extra practice time is paying dividends for Michigan. Oddsmakers seem to be scrambling to catch up to this team"Clemson opened -2, now -3 vs. TCUStan says: "Clemson moved quickly to a Key Number of -3. If number goes to -3.5 you'll know the Sharps really are hitting this hard "
Cincinnati opened -14, now -15.5 vs. Fresno StStan says: "After the way Cincinnati handled Oregon St this move doesn't really surprise and Fresno St could be down after huge game at home on TV vs Boise St last Friday. This could be a public bet later in the week, and the Sharps might be taking a postion now to buy back later."
Mississippi St opened +14.5, now +13.5 vs. LSUStan says: "Any time a move goes thru a key number (14 in this case) you must really respect the move."
Iowa St opened -8, now -10 vs ArmyStan says: "This one took a big move and is now sitting on a Key Number. Watch to see if they continue to bet the Iowa St side."
Memphis opened -2, now -3.5 vs MarshallStan says: "This went right thru a Key number (3) right away so watch if it sits there or moves as a lot of times sharps who bought early at -2 will buy back and take the dog at +3.5 hoping for the game winning FG."
Vanderbilt opened -10, now -7.5 at RiceStan says: "Careful with a move like this following a big upset loss like Vanderbilt had on Saturday as often times these kind of moves are move the Sharps getting ready for the public to overreact to one shocking score."
Florida St. opened -12, now -14.5 vs S. FloridaStan says: "This moved right thru 2 key numbers (13 & 14) so you have to take this move seriously. Given that Florida St already had a scare against another in state school 2 weeks ago Bowden should have their attention in practice all week telling his team not to take S. Florida lightly."
NC State opened -1, now Pick vs Pittsburgh Stan says: "These kind of moves are the least meaningful as most likely Pittsburgh will become the favorite and really -1 or +1 generally will not have any bearing. Take notice if game gets to -2.5 on Pittsburgh."
Miami-Fl opened Pick, now -2.5 at Virginia Tech Stan says: "I expected the move to come this way as Vegas has to adjust to Miami being much better than they thought while Virginia Tech has not impressed. The sharps feel oddsmakers aren't adjusting fast enough"
Stan Sharp is a Professional Bettor in Las Vegas that has won 57.5% of his plays over a 30+ month period. That is all sports combined and Stan is off to a another fantastic start this Football season. Stan went 3-0 this past week in Football and although Stan only bets one game a day the work begins early in the week as Stan monitors how the lines move and how and why the money is being bet the way it is.
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Who do you all like Thursday night? I can't help but think Ole Miss is so highly ranked from last season. They let Memphis stay in the game for a long time before pulling away. Conversely, South Carolina made Georgia's offense look better than it is. Can Spurrier knock off a big team in a big spot. The line is screaming to me to at least take South Carolina with the points and maybe on the money line. Just wondering what smarter people than I think about this game.
California had a hard time pulling away from a mediocre at best Minnesota team on the road. It's a rivalry game, and I don't feel that the Bears have good quarterback play. It's always tough to take close to a touchdown favorite on the road in a strong rivalry game.
Arizona's big time TE is out for the season and and now their switching QB's. Things are kinda rolling down hill in Arizona.
Thats what blows me away. Every Oregon fan I know and all the ones on the forums truly believe we get blown out this week. Our D is great this year but, everything offense is sub par. Our QB is yet to throw a touchdown pass and we have only five offensive touchdowns in three games. Beast for Cal had that many against Minny last week all by him self.
Biggest jump I have seen in the last 24 hrs or so is Oregon St/Arizona...I got the game yesterday at Oregon St +2, now sits at Oregon St -2.
Stumptown that is an interesting game for sure as the money is coming in hard on Oregon as I'm actually seeing a lot of 5.5's around town here in Vegas. Oregon did stop the nation's longest winning streak last week by beating Utah but a huge jump in class this week. This may be a good game to preview on the Podcast this week.
I really think Oregon wins/covers against Cal.
The one that has me scratching my head is Cal -7 now -6 against a very shaky Oregon team. I've never bet against my own team but I'm really considering it.
See all updated lines at http://PregameLines.com
Cincy now at -16.5
YES I AGREE THIS IS GREAT TIME SPENT IN HELPING EVERYONE HERE!
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