NCAA ROUND UP…the Final Four

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NCAA ROUND UP…the Final Four

By Marc Lawrence

 It’s onward to Indianapolis for the Final Four games.  To put the wraps on the 2010 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to consider before our Fab Four takes a final spin in Circle City this weekend.  All results listed below are ATS (Against The Spread) since 1991 unless noted otherwise.  Enjoy… 
 • #1 Seeds that are 4-0 ATS in this tourney are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS (Duke) • #2 Seeds are 1-7 ATS off a DD ATS win (West Virginia)• Teams off BB SU dog wins are 2-8 ATS (Butler)• ACC teams are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS since 2002 (Duke)• Big East teams are 0-3 ATS since 2004 (West Virginia)• Teams with the greater win percentage are 8-2 ATS L5Y (Butler and Duke)• Returnees from last year in this round are 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS (Michigan St) 
 • #1 Seed favs are 6-1 ATS• #2 Seeds are 0-5 ATS off an ATS win• #5 or worse Seeds are 0-3 SU & ATS• Favorites of 5 < pts are 10-1 ATS• Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final 4 round are 4-1 ATS• Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 0-4 SU & ATS• Teams off 5 straight Tourney ATS wins are 4-1 ATSTeams that have scored the most points in the tourney are 14-5 SU and 12-7 ATS• Underdogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 1-5 ATS• Big East teams are 3-0 ATS• ACC teams are 9-2 ATS• Big 10 teams are 1-6 ATS 
 • Butler’s Brad Stevens: 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS as an NCAA tourney favorite… 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS versus Big 10 opponents… 41-2 SU at home, including 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS versus Big 10 opponents.   • Duke’s Mike Krzyzewski: 39-4 SU versus .750 or less opponents and 14-11 SU versus greater than .750 foes, including 7-12-1 ATS as a favorite in this tourney… 5-1 SU and 4-2 in Final Four games and 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in NCAA championship games.  • Michigan State’s Tom Izzo: 10-0 SU and 6-4 ATS versus Horizon League competition… 21-5 ATS versus opponent off SU and ATS win in this tourney… 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS in Final Four and 1-1 SU and ATS in championship games in this event. • West Virginia’s Bob Huggins: 9-7 SU and ATS versus ACC opposition, including 3-1 SU and ATS in this tourney… 1-5 ATS as a dog in this tourney… 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS versus .718 or less opponents –but- 8-13 SU and 6-15 ATS versus .724 or greater foes in this tourney.  There you have it, trends and notes of teams and coaches for the NCAA Final Four and out games played the last 20 years. I hope you’ve enjoyed the tournament as much as I have.  I’ll return during the NBA playoffs with an overview of some Good, Bad, and downright Ugly stats and trends. Until then, enjoy the rest of the ‘Dance’.


  • well you didnt answer my last post but boy you killed me tonite i loved duke but you talked me out of them... thanks i think im done with your picks....

  • Last nite your play was Indiana when they were a

    home dog . Did i misread that because they were not a home dog last nite? Thx just wondering