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    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
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Weekend Preview - 9/20

College

LSU at Auburn, 7:45 (ESPN): The home team has won eight straight in this series by an average of 9 PPG. Winner has not needed more than 10 points in the last two meetings at Jordan-Hare Stadium. In fact 29 total points were scored in those two games. Huge revenge spot for Auburn, who lost with :01 left when LSU coach Les Miles elected to go for the TD on 4th down rather than go for a game-tying FG. Auburn is 9-4-1 ATS at home vs. ranked teams, including 7-3-1 vs. the Top Ten. The offense has struggled though including just three points against Miss State last week.

Georgia at Arizona State, 8:00 (ABC): UGA has not travelled out of state in non-conference play since 1995. It is their first non-conference road game of any kind since 2003. Arizona State got caught looking ahead last week and were upset as 25-point home favorites by UNLV (we had the Rebels as our Late Night Bailout!). Arizona State is 11-3-1 ATS as a home dog going all the way back to 1995.

Florida at Tennessee, 3:30 (CBS): Tebow dominated in last year's 59-20 Florida win, which was the worst loss ever for Phil Fulmer. This year could be more of the same. Tennessee certainly doesn't look very good after losing to UCLA in its opener and then the Bruins lost 59-0 to BYU. The Gators come off a bye week. Team that has won the rushing battle has won 16 of the last 18 meetings and Florida has won three straight and 11 of 15. Underdog is 7-4-1 ATS L12 in the series, however. Under Meyer, Florida is 10-3-1 ATS in SEC road openers and 8-5-1 ATS as single-digit road favorites.

Notre Dame at Michigan State, 3:30 (NBC): Visitor has won seven straight and is 6-0-1 ATS over that span. SU winner has covered 13 of the last 15 meetings with Michigan State covering 9 of the last 12 (includes one push). That being said, ND is 6-2 ATS as a road dog under Charlie Weis. This will be the Irish's only road game in its first five contests.

Virginia Tech at North Carolina, 3:30 (ABC): In a down year for the ACC, this game may very well determine the Coastal Division. The Tar Heels are 0-4 against the Hokies since VT joined the conference, but actually outgained them (306-241) in LY's 17-10 loss.

NFL

Kansas City at Atlanta: Falcons are actually on a 6-3-1 ATS run vs. the AFC, including 3-1 ATS when favored. Home team has won and covered the last three meetings.

Houston at Tennessee: The Texans went 0-3 SU/ATS on the division road last year, losing by an average of 17 PPG. Meanwhile, the Titans are 11-2 ATS their L13 division games, including a 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in this series. The Over has cashed in 8 of the last 10 meetings.

Miami at New England: The Patriots are 36-17 ATS in divisional games. The Dolphins are 4-20 ATS since 2004 in divisional games.

Tampa Bay at Chicago: Bears are just 4-8 ATS L12 home games while the Bucs are just 6-12 ATS L18 road games. Visitor is on 8-4 ATS run in this series.

Carolina at Minnesota: The favorite has covered the last three head-to-head meetings.

Detroit at San Francisco: The Lions are just 4-13 ATS on the road under Marinelli, including 2-11 ATS vs. NFC.

New Orleans at Denver: The Saints are just 2-8 ATS L10 vs. the AFC and 1-4 ATS L5 as road underdogs.

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia: The Steelers are 10-3 ATS vs. the NFC, the Eagles are 5-13 ATS at home vs. the AFC under Reid. Underdog has won and covered each of the last four meetings.

Dallas at Green Bay: These teams have met 11 times since 1992, with just two coming at the Frozen Tundra, but both were easy Packers wins. Ten of those games have gone Over. Green Bay is 11-2 SU/9-3-1 ATS at home under McCarthy.

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