Pomeroy's College Basketball Game Predictions for 3-5-10

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Pomeroy's College Basketball Game Predictions for 3-5-10

Ken Pomeroy uses stats and his own unique methods (efficiency ratings, etc.) to come up with predicted final scores for college basketball games.  The following are his predicted scores for today's games based on his system.  I am NOT recommending using this as the sole basis for any wagers.  This information should only be used as another ingredient in your handicapping formula.

Note: Team in bold is the home team.  Team with the spread next to it is the recommended play according to the predictions.

Duquesne 82, Fordham 63 (+20.5, Under 150)

Harvard 75 (-8, Under 140.5), Pennsylvania 63

Princeton 59, Dartmouth 40 (+19.5, Under 104)

Cornell 79, Brown 66 (+13.5, Over 140.5)

Yale 68 (-5.5, Over 128.5), Columbia 61

Akron 67, Kent State 66 (+3, Under 133.5)

St. John's 61 (Even, Under 123), DePaul 58

Long Beach State 67 (-8.5, Under 126), Cal Riverside 57

NC Wilmington 75 (-2, Over 142.5), Towson 71

Virginia Commonwealth 82 (-16.5, Over 140), Delaware 62

Hofstra 68, Georgia State 62 (Even, Under 131.5)

Drexel 67, James Madison 62 (+6.5, Over 128)

Northern Iowa 65, Drake 55 (No Line)

Creighton 70, Bradley 69 (+4, Over 137)

Wichita State 67, Missouri State 66 (No Line)

Illinois State 68, Indiana State 63 (+6, Over 129.5)

Detroit 68, Wisconsin-Green Bay 67 (+1.5, Over 134)

Wisconsin-Milwaukee 69 (+1.5, Over 134.5), Cleveland State 67

Davidson 74 (-8.5, Over 136.5), Elon 65

Furman 69 (-1.5, Over 135.5), NC Greensboro 67

The Citadel 55, Samford 52 (Even, Under 107.5)

Chattanooga 78 (-1.5, Even), Georgia Southern 76

Murray State 73, Eastern Illinois 60 (Even, Over 131.5)

Morehead State 77, Tennessee Tech 66 (+11.5, Over 140)

Manhattan 65 (+2, Even), Loyola Maryland 64

Canisius 69 (-11.5, Over 125), Marist 57

Loyola Marymount 79 (-9.5, Over 141.5), Pepperdine 68

San Diego 62, Santa Clara 59 (+3.5, Over 120)

Kennesaw State vs. East Tennessee State (No prediction given)

Jacksonville 78, Mercer 77 (No Line)

 

Looking for games with at least a 3-point overlay against the spread, we find the following (Overlay is in parentheses):

Coming into today: SIDES = 7-6... TOTALS = 18-13

UNDER 150 Fordham at Duquesne (5) LOSS

HARVARD -8 at Pennsylvania (4) LOSS

UNDER 104 Dartmouth at Princeton (5) LOSS

OVER 140.5 Cornell at Brown (4.5) WIN

UNDER 123 St. John's at DePaul (4) LOSS

OVER 142.5 NC Wilmington vs. Towson (3.5) WIN

VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH -16.5 vs. Delaware (3.5) WIN

OVER 140 Delaware at Virginia Commonwealth (4) LOSS

BRADLEY +4 vs. Creighton (3) WIN

WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE +1.5 vs. Cleveland State (3.5) WIN

OVER 140 Morehead State vs. Tennessee Tech (3) LOSS

MANHATTAN +2 vs. Loyola Maryland (3) WIN

OVER 141.5 Loyola Marymount vs. Pepperdine (5.5) WIN

 

Again, at most, this information should only be used as a small part of your handicapping.

  • Always love to see us some "Ken-Pom"....I has great pleasure of connversing w/Mr Siena-Hoops himself  two weeks ago, guy has more energy than I couild every DREAM of!  For a Stat-Based Capper, you gotta respect Ken Pomeroy as a Pioneer in use of Capping thru efficiency.  Thanks Dw-Bry

  • You're welcome, Jeff.  I'm glad you find this useful.  Thanks for the props, buddy.

  • Thanks for posting these each day. I use Pomeroy and Sagarins power ratings as a starting point for my handicapping each day. Really appreciate all you do.

  • I started this last night & saved it. Don't know why it showed up on the third page when I finished & published it this morning. Guess I have to get the hang of how this blog software works so it gets put with the newest posts on the front page.