Cleveland Cavaliers at Houston Rockets Betting Preview

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Houston Rockets Betting Preview

Game Time: 8 pm ET

TV: TNT

Cleveland Cavaliers (44-11 SU, 37-18 ATS) at Houston Rockets (36-21, 26-30-1 ATS)

Opening Line: Cleveland -1

Current Line: Cleveland -3.5

Current Bet Percents: 80% on Cleveland

Opening Total: 185.5

Current Total: 185.5 to 186

Current Bet Percents on Total: 66% on OVER

Season Home/Road Stats

Cleveland (road): 18-10 SU, 16-12 ATS, 11-17 O/U

Houston (home): 23-6 SU, 13-15-1 ATS, 12-17 O/U

Streaks

Cleveland has won five straight, both SU and ATS.

Houston has won five straight SU, all at home.

Series History

These two only meet twice a year. Cleveland won at home, 99-90, as a 7.5-point favorite back in December. Houston is 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings. The Rockets have won the last two in this series at Houston in convincing fashion -- 92-77 last season and 81-63 two seasons ago. Four of the last five in this series have gone UNDER the total.

Trends of Note

Cleveland is:

  • 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day of rest
  • 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU win of more than 10 points
  • 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of greater than .600
  • 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games

Houston is:

  • 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of greater than .600
  • 25-9-3 ATS in their last 37 Thursday games
  • 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win
  • 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less

The UNDER is:

  • 5-1 in the Cavaliers' last 6 games vs. a team with a win percentage above .600
  • 20-7 in the Cavaliers' last 27 games following an ATS win
  • 40-19-1 in the Cavaliers' last 60 Thursday games
  • 5-1 in the Rockets' last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less
  • 4-1 in the Rockets' last 5 games following an ATS loss

The OVER is:

  • 17-5-1 in Cavaliers last 23 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or less
  • 6-0 in the Rockets' last 6 Thursday games
  • 4-1 in the Rockets' last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
  • 9-4 in the Rockets' last 13 games as an underdog

Injuries

Cleveland: Guard Delonte West is probable (wrist).

Houston: Guard Tracy McGrady is out for the season (knee).  Forward Ron Artest is probable after suffering a minor head injury in his last game.

  • I agree fellas. If I was on this game, I'd have to back Houston.

  • I'm with ya, Evan. Houston is the only way to go in this game IMO.

  • It is puzzling to me why the line in this game moved so significantly.  The line moved from Cleveland -1.5 to -4.  Houston is a better team without McGrady, and they have played very well since the break.  Cleveland is not a dominant road team, while Houston hasn't lost by more than 4 points at home since back in November.  A little confused...