It's Always Sonny (Weems) in Philadelphia: NBA RoundUp for 11/18

Pregame Blogs

Pregame Blogs
Videos are just the START of the conversation. Each show has a dedicated blog post with show notes, links, and pics. Plus, the host and guests continue the conversation in the comments section!

It's Always Sonny (Weems) in Philadelphia: NBA RoundUp for 11/18

Wednesday Recap: Back on the horse, and no time to waste! After dropping a play on Tuesday, we got ourselves a sultry 3* GOW Winner yesterday with the Toronto Raptors to get things going back in the right direction. We did drop a small Free Play on the Under in New Orleans, but still a firmly positive day, and there's nothing wrong with that.

Today: This section will change on a weekly basis, for the most part, with a couple interesting things profiled, a Pro note or two, and then the daily package information. So, like last week, we'll give a few more days of promo space to Pregamepodcasts.com - home of all things podcast!

I'm going to take the season pass down for a week, and instead feature the weekly pass! A great deal in itself, since you get all THREE sports!

And, of course, the daily package - got ourselves a nice GOW 3* winner yesterday, and now back with a 2* on TNT tonight! Saddle up, partner!

Sports Wagering: NBA

Los Angeles Clippers @ Indiana Pacers (-8.5) with a total of 200;
I feel like I could just cut and paste every writeup so far this year on the Clippers. Total disaster of a team - Blake Griffin is a hyper-athletic young player, but teams are starting to send him to the line, where he's been hit-or-miss...mostly miss. Besides Griffin, the Clippers are pretty banged up, and Vinny Del Negro seems to have lost these guys, already. Now, that being said, 8.5 points is quite a large number, considering the Pacers don't play much in the way of defense, and Darren Collison, perhaps the team's second best defensive player, is day-to-day. So, without Collison, it's going to be a matter of whether the Pacers can get 5 more stops than the Clippers. It sounds easy enough, but I want no part of it. Staying within 8 or 9 points just takes a full-game effort, even from a bad team, so I'll take it right here - if the Clippers get blown out in Minnesota on Wednesday, strongly consider CLIPS for Thursday, otherwise, probably just leave it alone. As far as the total goes, I find it hard to believe anyone takes defense that seriously, so I'm inclined to lean over, but can the Clippers even break 90 points? Eh, tiny lean to the OVER.

Phoenix Suns @ Orlando Magic (-9) with a total of 203;
The angles on this game are a little less convoluted than the ones for the Clips/Pacers game, above. Simply put, if Orlando is AWAKE, they will try to slow this game down and use their superior size to squash the Suns. Phoenix is also going to be playing the second game of a difficult Florida back-to-back, and what we've seen so far this year is that Phoenix's offense suffers when their legs aren't quite 100%. A jump-shooting, running team, the Suns need full energy to win, so it's not that surprising that their numbers drop a tad in fatigue spots. Orlando, meanwhile, got off to a weird start to the year, and I'd argue are having some issues with focus. They are coming off, perhaps, their best defensive game of the season, so I wonder if Orlando is going to keep that focus, or slip back into the lull that allowed Toronto to beat them, and then nearly let Jersey sneak out a win, too. I have to believe, with this game being the early TNT game, Orlando will be awake and looking to put the squeeze on the smaller Suns. I think the side is pretty accurate here, though a slight lean to ORLANDO, and I think that total looks low for a reason, and I lean to the UNDER.

Denver Nuggets @ Portland Trailblazers (-3) with a total of 203;
I have to say, when I first looked at this game, I wanted to just jump all over the Trailblazers, but something is nagging at me, and I think it's their team defense. Aside from locking down on the hapless Pistons, the Blazers have been giving up points in hefty bunches, and that's just not how they're going to win games. They allowed 121 to the Lakers, 110 to the Thunder, 107 to the Hornets, and 99 to the Grizzlies, in a game they won. The Blazers aren't going to beat the Nuggets with offense. In fact, playing offense is what the Nuggets actually enjoy. It's that darn defense that gets them all knotted up. So, where does that leave us? I'd say, with a darn difficult high-profile game to cap. The Nuggets' heart is certainly in question, and now J.R. Smith has basically doghouse'd his way right out of the rotation. So, on top of all the injuries to both teams, there's turmoil. The Blazers are the hardier team, if it comes down to that, and Denver really looks like they don't care to play a full 48 minutes. It's tough to trust a team that takes 12-24 minutes off every game, and that, to me, is the difference. However, that presupposes Portland plays defense for a quarter or two...yikes. Lean to the BLAZERS and the UNDER, because if it's going over the total, Portland's going to struggle. This is sort of correlated, in a sick way.
  • NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG!!

    http://bit.ly/c7qvI6

    http://bit.ly/c7qvI6

    http://bit.ly/c7qvI6

    http://bit.ly/c7qvI6

    !!

    !!

    !!!

  • Waiting to read about this new blog and that Knicks value...

    Dan liking many games is a good thing. Just don't go talking yourself out of your gut feelings, Dan!

  • yes a few here and there. i remember having them change a props bet on total bases a few motnhs ago. Ive noticed 2-3 wrong cards. They've changed them but still unprofessional.

  • DO IT! I'm in on the 3 for 1 Dan! lol lets sweeeeeeeep that sucka!

  • Melo has 3 steals in the 1st quarter?1

  • Wow dan 3-1 package.  I'll be buying that if you are offering haha... it'll be a nice parlay for tomorrow.

  • the revenge angle, eh? from the warriors going into NY and beating them earlier this year...also applies to the Thunder going into Boston...and even in the Kings/Nets game... i'm excited for tomorrow!

  • New blog in 15 minutes, you guys have time to go get some tea

  • I should note that I'm currently having the BEST problem a Pro capper can have...I see FIVE games tomorrow I like quite a lot....

    I think this might be time for my first (and maybe only?) 3-for-1 package!

  • 1. Always Sunny is being replayed now. YES.

    2. Great minds think alike! ha. Knicks were so bad last year that I think they are getting that value this year and they are doing so much better. Not sure what their ATS is right now without looking, but I think they definitely need to be looked at soon. Get them before Vegas adjusts.

  • uh-oh....i think that was the cue boys....sounds like Dan is about to start another blog???  Poppers be ready!!! lol

  • Haha, Will, funny you ask because tomorrow's blog will address my stance on value with the knickerbockers

  • Haha, Uncle Cliffy was what Clifford Robinson used to be known as...this is an NBA blog, so NBA nicknames will be used in abundance!

    David - the drama is largely around, from what I'm reading, why Spartan has packages that sometimes grow from 2 plays to 8 plays late in the day, as well as which underdogs are rabid dogs.  I think that's what I'm taking away.  The other drama is whether VR needs to improve his record-keeping.  I'd rather keep it out of this thread, so that was JUST an update, and not my way of asking for a response from anyone.

    Big Willie -- HULU to the rescue?

  • Bostoneagle -- Just one out of many...losses will happen.  I know it feels like we kinda forgot what it's like to lose a unit on a day, but we'll be a-okay.  Hell, we might even have a losing week or month at some point, but for now, let's just take it one day at a time and rebound tomorrow!

  • Dan, tell me about the Knicks. They seem as if they are not a bad team to bet with lately. They covered tonight and should have won SU last night with a dominating performance. Keep an eye on them?