Season Opener Time! NBA/MLB Combined RoundUp for 4/5

Sun, Apr 4 2010 9:13 PM

Comments 127

Wow, just a TON to cover in the opening remarks of this blog, so PLEASE TAKE A MOMENT TO READ THESE PARAGRAPHS, because I need some feedback.

First, a quick recap of yesterday in the NBA -- we made three total plays, and grabbed a ROBUST 3-0 pure sweep, with the Celtics hanging on, and the Spurs and Pacers blowing out the Lakers and Rockets, respectively. We're 12-4 since last Sunday, so we're really starting to hit our stride in the NBA!

With that in mind, and being that there are no NBA games tonight on NCAA Championship/MLB Season Opener Monday, we have some issues to address. The largest is exactly how to transition the blog platform from one sport to another.

My current plan is subject to change, but what I'd like to do is continue to write the NBA blog the night before the game occur (as we currently do), possibly shortening the write-ups on each game to some length in between the weekday and weekend size, list the MLB odds for the following day within the same blog, then add MLB notes the following morning.

Then, when NBA ends, we'll simply remove NBA from the blog, and continue to list MLB odds the night before and notes in the morning. The reason this works for me is because the site I use to get most of my MLB stats updates at about 8am EST, which means that I need to wait to get the bulk of my handicapping statistics. Baseball notes will be predominantly players that have been exceptionally GOOD or BAD in that day's specific situation. You'll see, when you read below.

For today, however, my stats pages are updated the day before (because these are the first games, after all), so below, I'd like to unveil the FIRST FULL MLB BLOG of the 2010 season! I will not be releasing a Paid Play tomorrow, but starting Tuesday, both MLB and NBA are fair game for some money-making and value-hunting. Let's do this!

Sports Wagering: NBA

No NBA Games Scheduled

Sports Wagering: MLB (Opening lines listed in bold, leans will appear in BLOG RESPONSE AREA)

American League

Indians @ White Sox (-170) with Total of 8.5

Shin-Soo Cho is a lifetime 5-for-12 hitter against Mark Buehrle;

Jhonny Peralta bats .321 off Buehrle in his career in 56 ABs, with 2 homers and 6 RBI;

Mark Grudzielanek is 10-for-31 off Buerhle lifetime;

Mike Redmond is batting .432 off Buerhle in 37 ABs, but is without a longball, and has only driven in 2.

Blue Jays @ Rangers (-145) with Total of 9.5

Michael Young is 4-for-10 lifetime off Shaun Marcum, with 3 driven in;

Adam Lind has 2 homers in just 7 ABs off Scott Feldman.

Tigers @ Royals (-120) with Total of 7

Justin Verlander is 9-2 with a 2.32 ERA lifetime against the Royals;

Johnny Damon is 6-for-17 off Zack Greinke;

Gerald Laird, interestingly, is 6-for-14 off Greinke, but none of the Tigers have any sort of "production" numbers;

Zack Greinke is 11-5 with a 2.50 ERA against Detroit in his career;

Billy Butler is 11-for-26 off Verlander with 2 homers and 3 driven in.

Twins @ Angels (-140) with Total of 8.5

Jason Kubel is 4-for-11 off Jered Weaver with a home and 3 RBI;

Joe Mauer is without a homer off Weaver, but is 6-for-15;

Scott Baker is an awful 0-4 with a 5.59 ERA against the Angels;

Maicer Izturis and Erick Aybar are a combined 6-for-12 off Baker with a homer and 5 RBI.

Mariners (-130) @ Athletics with Total of 7

Felix Hernandez is 8-4, 2.88 ERA lifetime against Oakland;

Daric Barton, Mark Ellis, Eric Patterson and Kurt Suzuki all are .333 or better lifetime hitters against Felix Hernandez.

National League

Phillies (-200) @ Nationals with Total of 7.5

Roy Halladay, somehow, is 5-1, 2.56 ERA against Washington; how has he faced them so much?

Raul Ibanez is a ridiculous 7-for-10 with 2 homers off John Lannan;

Chase Utley is 10-for-21 off Lannan, also with 2 homers, and 6 RBI.

Marlins @ Mets (-120) with Total of 7

Josh Johnson has skunked the Mets lifetime, going 7-0 with a 2.30 ERA;

Fernando Tatis is 8-for-12 off Johnson with a homer;

Cardinals (-155) @ Reds with Total of 7.5

Chris Dickerson is 5-for-10 off Chris Carpenter in his brief career;

Chris Carpenter is 7-3, 2.11 ERA lifetime against the Reds;

Felipe Lopez is 4-for-10 off Aaron Harang with a homer;

Skip Schumaker is 8-for-24 with a homer and 3 driven in;

Interestingly, Pujols (.279) and Holliday (.063) have been mostly non-factors against Harang.

Dodgers (-155) @ Pirates with Total of 8.5

Matt Kemp is 6-for-15 lifetime off Zach Duke;

Russ Martin is 7-for-15 lifetime off Duke with a homer and 4 RBI.

Rockies @ Brewers (-125) with Total of 7.5

Todd Helton is 2-for-5 off Gallardo in limited action;
Troy Tulowitzki is 3-for-6 off Gallardo, and Ian Stewart is 1-for-1 with a homer;
Jim Edmonds (yes, he's still alive) is 3-for-5 off Ubaldo Jimenez with 4 RBI;
Yovani Gallardo is 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA against the Rockies.

Cubs @ Braves (-125) with Total of 8

Mike Fontenot is 4-for-8 off Derek Lowe with 2 RBI;

Derrek Lee is 10-for-24 off Lowe, but just 3 RBI and no homers;

Troy Glaus is 3-for-10 off Carlos Zambrano with 2 homers and 5 RBI;

Brian McCann is 7-for-12 off Zambrano with 4 driven in.

Padres @ Diamondbacks (-180) with Total of 7.5

Jon Garland (now on the Padres) is 2-1 against the D'backs, but has an ERA of 7.04 - yikes;

Everth Cabrera and Nick Hundley are both batting over .400 against Dan Haren;

Stephen Drew is 3-for-6 off Garland with a homer;

Miguel Montero is 2-for-4 off Garland, also with a homer.

Giants (-130) @ Astros with Total of 7

Tim Lincecum is 2-0 with a 1.67 ERA against the banged up Astros in his career;

Mark DeRosa is a 12-for-23 lifetime hitter off Oswalt with 1 home run and 3 RBI.

Basketball, NBA, MLB, Baseball, Cincinnati Reds, Round-Up, Houston Astros, Atlanta Braves, Toronto Blue Jays, Milwaukee Brewers, Washington Nationals, Los Angeles Angels, Pittsburgh Pirates, Saint Louis Cardinals, San Francisco Giants, Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers, Oakland Athletics, Chicago Cubs, Florida Marlins, Cleveland Indians, Minnesota Twins, Colorado Rockies, Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres, Chicago White Sox, New York Mets, Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers, Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers

Comments

Dan Bebe

Mon, Apr 5 2010 8:49 PM

COME ON OVER TO THE NEWBLOG, FELLAS!

http://bit.ly/9er6bf
2010towin

Mon, Apr 5 2010 8:45 PM

I got one more game tonight I am on the Mariner M/L waiting to see who comes around tonight to POP! Great calls on all your MLB leans. Did u play any of them?
2010towin

Mon, Apr 5 2010 8:44 PM

I had to walk away, Dan! I csimply could not watch the ending. I can't beleive he almost mad that last three shot (Butler). My brother is drinkin' tha' Hatorade, right now! Ha HA BEEE octh!
2010towin

Mon, Apr 5 2010 8:38 PM

WOW!
Dan Bebe

Mon, Apr 5 2010 8:29 PM

Fun first day of MLB, HELL of a Championship game, and tomorrow brings the first MLB and NBA day where both Leagues have a decent slate of games!
denmarkok

Mon, Apr 5 2010 4:37 PM

Dear Zack Grienke... I'll help you hide the bodies of those sorry-ass excuses for middle relievers. Just sayin'...
Dan Bebe

Mon, Apr 5 2010 4:33 PM

Hahaha, that's how I like it -- if someday folks are talking about Dan Bebe's career, I want the first things they say to be, "He was the most accessible and generous handicapper of all time!"

But seriously, if I'm only selling one play, there's no reason for me to screw over anyone that's finishing up an NBA package. You long term guys deserve ALL my plays, so I'll make sure you get 'em!
sweetriver

Mon, Apr 5 2010 4:10 PM

WOOHOO, sounds great, but by all means, charge for it as you deserve it if you are a capper here, don't you? Uh oh, I am asking you to charge us, something wrong with that
Dan Bebe

Mon, Apr 5 2010 4:10 PM

so4 -

We look forward to having you around!! As Coutu was saying, if you follow the 4 cappers he mentioned (me, Hook, sac, GF) you are almost guaranteed a solid MLB season. And when I say follow, I don't mean play every play or buy every package, I just mean buy a few, learn the tricks of the trade, read the writeups, read my blog, listen to the podcasts, and you'll be 10x better at capping and betting baseball than you were the year before!
Dan Bebe

Mon, Apr 5 2010 4:08 PM

Sweet - I BELIEVE so. I BELIEVE you get any play that I upload.

However, I'm not 100% certain.

So, since I'm still selling just 1 play a day, I'll continue to SELL the NBA play (so you'd get that as part of the NBA package), and make the MLB plays the Free ones, so that you will definitely get those, too.

How does that sound? I'm all about customer service!! :)
so4

Mon, Apr 5 2010 4:08 PM

I'll just leave it and hope the angels get up, Cheers Dan. I've found baseball to be difficult to win in previous seasons, im hoping I can grind it out more this season with the experts on here, looking forward to contributing too.
sweetriver

Mon, Apr 5 2010 4:05 PM

Hey Danno, quick question, if we are subscribed for the NBA season, do we get MLB play as well until the NBA regular season is over? That's the impression I got after reading your prelude above...
Dan Bebe

Mon, Apr 5 2010 3:58 PM

so4 - No sense buying off and taking a loss on the play. The Angels are still a decent play, I think, and line movement isn't the be all end all. Hell, the White Sox/Indians game had bad line movement for the Sox and they beat the hell out of Cleveland...
2010towin

Mon, Apr 5 2010 3:56 PM

Ok thanks for that! Based on your info I will staw away from LAA. I can't help but see the news and Minute Maid Park is sold out for the Astros, so I think this crowd and their new catcher might be cause to lay off, too. A

-150 favorite is no prize, combine that with the idea that there is always tomorrow and the Stros just have to be due a season opening winner. Today or next year...but not today for me. Plenty to watch on the boob tube and I am 1-0 to start the week...so why mess with perfection, right?
so4

Mon, Apr 5 2010 3:52 PM

Interesting, I already took the angels, but can take the twins at +115, to balance out the bet. What do you think about this strategy?

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