Welcome back to the short weekend blogs, home of the World Famous LEANTRACKER!
Haha, but I kid.
Last night went pretty well, all things considered. I'm sure a few folks got on the Paid Play and took a loss, but the TWO Free Plays BOTH hit, so we actually went 2-1 on Premium Selections, and also picked up ANOTHER winner on the Prop Bets, which are turning out to be a furious money-maker. Full disclosure: I started putting a tiny bit more than a quarter unit on those Props, so yesterday brought a smile back to Bebe's mug.
Totals have really turned out to be quite profitable this week, and while we've laid a full-on egg on side bets, Premium Totals plays are a solid 4-2 this week, and we also hit a Non-Premium Late Release Total, as well. Today's Top Play might be a side, courtesy of the short card and the back-to-backs, but let's check things out and see where the lines take us!
Sports Wagering
Jazz @ Wizards - Utah by 9 with a total of 196.5. Washington is playing a 4th in 5 nights, and haven't been good on back-to-backs. Utah off an ugly loss in Indiana; I lean to the big road favorites. Utah might drop 110 on the Wizards - can Washington break 85? I think I have to wait to determine a lean here just because I can't see Washington shooting well two nights in a row.
Blazers @ Hornets - Portland by 2.5 with a total of 194. Portland is knocking at the door of getting out of playing the Lakers, slight lean to Blazers, though the value isn't great. Lean to the Under on the total - with Chris Paul back, Hornets aren't going to try to go breakneck speed any more. Or at least they shouldn't.
Nets @ Bulls - Chicago by 10 with a total of 194.5. The Nets are on an offensive roll, but I don't like either side in this one, since I still haven't made up my mind on whether Chicago's set to mail it in the rest of the way. No lean on the side. The Nets shot 58% against the Pistons last night in a ridiculously high scoring affair, and I strongly believe that this total jumps UP as a result of that inflation. Then I'd lean just slightly to the Under.
Lakers @ Rockets - This line is OFF. This is an ugly time to be a Rocket. The Lakers got murdered by the Thunder last night, and are actually going to be a decent value, courtesy of the back-to-back. I know Houston likes playing LA, but they're also in "Lottery Freefall" mode, so I lean Lakers (especially with no Battier to guard Kobe). I also happen to believe the Rockets struggle to score, and I'd lean Under, but it's tough to know for sure before we see where the books bring this one out.
Mavericks @ Warriors - Dallas by 4 with a total 234.5. I happen to think this side is pretty accurate, coin-flip spot, but I love backing the Warriors at home, so they get the slight nod. Dallas is just the kind of team that can get sucked into a score-fest, and this total is high for a reason. Lean to the Over.