WNBA PLAY:

WNBA - 605 Sacramento Monarchs @ 606 Minnesota Lynx

I expect the Monarchs to be competitive tonight and I wouldn't be surprised if they pull the trigger and win outright however all the possible scenarios for me is that they start strong the game and that's why I'm taking them at the break rather the full game.

This is a classic letdown spot for Minnesota. Look, they are riding a 3-game winning streak and last Monday they beat Atlanta on the road in a national TV game (ESPN2) so it's hard for them to duplicate the same effort tonight especially when you are facing the worst WNBA team! In fact, in that game 4 of the 5 Minny' starters played more than 30 minutes (more than 75% of the possible time on the court) so we cannot discount the possibility of a physical letdown as well.

Sacramento meanwhile blew the chance to snap their losing streak in Chicago by losing 72-74 when with 3 minutes remaining they led 67-62. Slowly they are improving and getting more comfortable as a team and although this is their fourth game in seven days last game their entire roster played some minutes (Nicole Powell was the most utilized with just 24 minutes!) so we are dealing with a relatively fresh team. Sacramento is a tough matchup for Minnesota because Minny isn't a good rebounding team while the Monarchs are by far the best rebounding team in the league. In fact, last season Sacramento covered all the 3 games against Minnesota (including winning on the road despite being +9 points underdogs). This season however Minny went on the road to beat Sacramento but let's not forget 3 key points: 1. Lynx superstar Augustus scored 30 points while shooting 12-18 from the field and it was her that carried the team on the fourth quarter with 14 points and she's out for the season; 2.The Lynx committed a season low 8 turnovers and I don't expect such magnificent number today; 3. Huge mismatch on the boards, Sacramento outrebounded the Lynx 47-30. In fact the Lynx had 18 defensive rebounds and Sacramento ended with 16 offensive rebounds, wow!

Minnesota is 2-9 ATS in the first half off a road win lately and in my research I found a powerful trend that supports Sacramento:  Playing on Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line after a close loss by 3 points or less is 22-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons. I'm taking Sacramento in the first half in here.

Split the wager:

2/3 units on Sacramento HALF TIME (+3.5)
1/3 units on Sacramento  HALF TIME ML @ +170 on 5Dimes

Good luck   For today I have a big double dime play in the Wnba and we are still perfect in the season with such best bets, let's cash!