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    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
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Andre Gomes - Western Conference 15-11

Western Conference:

 

 

15.    Minnesota Timberwolves

 

I've placed the Wolves in the last position in my Power Ranking, but don't get me wrong, as this team had a good month of January and February, way better than a good number of teams. Actually their record of 10-41 hides the fact that they have covered the spread in 9 of their last 13 games. The team has been underrated by the bookies, thanks to the bettors, but when they were an away dog, they had a nice record of 13-12 ATS. This team just like Memphis and Boston last season will be a team which will cover the spread a good number of times, thanks to some large spreads, as they have already shown that they can be competitive against any team in the league (as they were against Boston twice).

 

14.    Seattle Supersonics

 

It may seem weird, but Seattle has given up of being competitive in order to Kevin Durant could develop without any kind of pressure, as in terms of potential this team is way better than the record of 13-38 shows, so how would you explain the fact that the Sonics are the team in the league with most bench points? With 38.7 ppg, the Sonics lead the league in front of the Spurs, showing that the team possesses a deep roster. Simply with Durant gaining experience, the Spurs lose a lot of ball games. It's funny to see that in the four games the team was favored this season, they have won three, as this is one of the teams with most unders this season (31 against just 20 overs!), The typical bettor loves points and associates that with Durant, making the Sonics a great team for the under.

 

13.    Memphis Grizzlies

 

This team of Memphis without Gasol is weak and we can't expect nothing from them. The bookies have already realized them, putting the team as a double digits dog in 3 of their last 4 games. Their record of 14-38 shows how weak they are and this team will have huge spreads against them. But be careful, as they will be dangerous for the teams which will face team playing with a fast tempo, as Miller, Gay and Navarro inspired in the attack can raise the team to some good performances. But against teams with strong frontcourts, it will be very hard for them, as without Gasol the team hasn't any reference in the attack. The team as an away dog has a strong 8-15 O/U, a sign that they can't cause problems to their opponents' defenses and without Gasol, I don't see how they will be able to turn things around.

 

12.    Los Angeles Clippers

 

One of the teams most destroyed by injuries, the Clippers have a record of 17-33 and without any real chance to make the playoffs, will they find any kind of motivation to be competitive until the end of the regular season? Elton Brand will be back in mid March, so the Clippers will still have to play a lot of matches without him. The under has a strong edge in the games of the Clippers (20-29 O/U) until now. But sooner or later, we will see the Clippers' opponents being favored with double digits spreads, something that will make the Clippers become a good team to back.

 

11.    Sacramento Kings

 

Even though they have a record of 23-28, the Kings with the return of Bibby, Artest and Martin showed that they can be competitive, defeating some of the elite teams like Utah and New Orleans, but before the All-Star break, they have lost 3 games in a row and saw Mike Bibby leaving the team to Atlanta. This trade is clearly an huge opportunity for Beno Udrih, which was playing well during the absence of Bibby. The Kings won't have chances to qualify for the playoffs, but they have been good when they are the underdogs, going 23-12 ATS in this situation. But curiously when they are favorites, the team is just 5-11 ATS. It will be necessary to know if the team will be motivated even though they know they won't make it to the playoffs. If they maintain

 

My name is André Gomes, I’m from Portugal and I am a Professional Handicapper. My sole purpose is to constantly beat the sportsbooks by taking advantage of the evaluation errors they make. It is most... Read more

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