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  • Created On:
    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
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    05/09/2024 7:02 PM

Andre Gomes Boston/Denver Free Pick

 Boston Celtics @ Denver Nuggets

For one moment forget the fact that the Nuggets will face the Celtics tonight, let's just concentrate on the Nuggets right now. Well, they finished yesterday their longest road trip of the season (8 games) and now they return home to play a back to back game. Note that this is their fourth game in 6 days and despite playing at home, they had to travel to play tonight. This is a strong spot to fade them in any circumstance, as a physical letdown is the most likely scenario to happen in the second half. Last night they led the game against the Bucks by 72-69 at the break and then they were outscored 45-51 in the second half. Note also that their best big man Nene Hilario got injured late in the game and most likely he won't play tonight (he is listed as doubtful). If they had played instead against a lowly team tonight, I would be on the other side as well, as this is a tough spot for them.

Now we can add the Celtics to the discussion. If you want to beat the Celtics, you must outmuscle them, you can't plain and simple try to outscoring them! Look for the Suns yesterday, they got spanked at home by 20 points! This is tough for the Nugetts because as we saw they will have tired legs for tonight and the Celtics are in a better condition. Not only this is their third game in 6 days, but also because yesterday's game was more an entertainment game than really a "tough game". I have to remember that the Nuggets went to Boston earlier in the season and defeated the Celtics at home (the first home loss of the season), so this is a big revenge game for the champs.

The only possible disadvantage of the Celtics for tonight's game is the battle of the boards, as Kevin Garnett is out. However, without Nene Hilario the Nuggets are also shorthanded down the post as well and I must remember that with yesterday's win at Phoenix, the Celtics improved to 4-0 this season in games without Kevin Garnett and 13-2 in games that Garnett has had to sit out since KG has arrived in Boston last season. Take the Celtics in here!

Regular Play on  Boston Celtics (-1,5)

 

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My name is André Gomes, I’m from Portugal and I am a Professional Handicapper. My sole purpose is to constantly beat the sportsbooks by taking advantage of the evaluation errors they make. It is most... Read more

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