NBA Daily Message 12/27 Card + Triple Dime Play

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NBA Daily Message 12/27 Card + Triple Dime Play

 

NBA results:

NBA 2006-07: +94.62 units
NBA 2007-08: +144.07 units
NBA 2008-09: +22.77 units
NBA 2009-10: +98.36 units


NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD:  (+48.60 units)

NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD 1-2-3 MM:  (+14.86 units)

NBA SEASON RECORD FILE SHEET (PLEASE CLICK HERE!!!)

Ranked #1 NBA at Sports-Watch of LV

Ranked #2 NBA at National Sports Monitor


NBA Yesterday's recap:

3 units on UNDER CHI/DET 190.5   WIN

3 units on NEW ORLEANS (-4)   WIN

3 units on UNDER ATL/NOH 184.5   WIN

3 units on SAN ANTONIO (-14)   PUSH

3 units on UNDER PHI/DEN 206.5   WIN

Daily Message:

It was a sweet Christmas weekend for us and by extension for the season as we went 10-1-1 in the last 3 days of competition in the NBA. Yesterday we went 4-0-1 and we are now +48.60 units for the season & +86.20 units in this month (using a 1-2-3 units MM: +14.86un & +31.94un!). For today we have a rare big card of 10 games to work. NOTE: I've already spotted a tremendous opportunity for us and tonight I'm releasing a rare Triple Dime Play - only the second TD play of this season! I'm working on the rest of the card right now, thanks.

Injury report: Gerald Wallace is questionable; Drew Gooden and Corey Maggette are questionable; Andrea Bargnani is out; Jarryd Bayless is probable; Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee are probable; Mehmet Okur is probable; Jason Thompson is probable and finally Louis Williams is out.

 

FREE PLAY(S):

NBA - 713 Washington Wizards @ 714 Houston Rockets

***SINGLE DIME PLAY***

Projected line: 210 points


I like the Over in this contest for several reasons…

The Washington Wizards played shorthanded in San Antonio last night against the Spurs. Two of their 2 best frontcourt players (McGee and Blatche) were suspended and the Wizards were easily shut down by the Spurs defensive unit. However, note that the Spurs had a strict game plan to slow down the pace of the game. It was a bad spot for them as they had b2b games home-road against Denver and Orlando and they were playing one day after Christmas day. They knew of their size advantage against the Wizards, so basically they wanted to operate in the half court to take advantage of their better ball movement.

The Wizards scored only 34 points in the paint, but curiously the Spurs’ big men had all terrible shooting performances: Duncan 2-9 FG; Blair 4-11 FG, McDyess 1-3 FG, Bonner 4-8 FG and/or Splitter 0-2 FG! In the final quarter, the Spurs even struggled to score against the Wizards – their tiredness was a watchable factor.

This won’t happen tonight with the Rockets! They had 4 days to rest and prepare this contest and their philosophy is well known right now: they are a run and gun team! (5th in the league in ball possessions per game)

The Rockets were in an offensive roll just before their last game as they have scored 121, 102, 103, 105, 118 and 110 points prior to the game against the Clippers. They had a mini offensive letdown in that game, but I can’t ignore the fact that they were playing their 3rd game in just 4 days. Nevertheless, the pace of the game was super fast and only a high number of turnovers (19 and 16) and low shooting% numbers 42.7 & 40.2% FG prevented the game to be a pure shootout contest.

For the Rockets, Luis Scola and Kevin Martin have been terrific during this month and their second unit is my opinion the most offensive and explosive unit in the league with Brooks, Lee, Budinger, Hill and Miller.

While rested, I expect the Rockets to put some points in the scoreboard against a poor defensive team like the Wizards are.

In the first h2h game of the season, the Wizards won the game 98-91, but note that the pace of the game was similar to a wild run and gun game: both teams combined to score 46 fast break points! However the Rockets shot only 39.1% FG and committed 15 TO’s, while the Wizards shot 44.3% FG and committed 17 TO’s.

John Wall played last night in San Antonio (and his speed was noticed coming off the bench) and with Blatche & McGee back the Wizards have more talent on the frontcourt.

My projected line in this contest is 210 points and I’m taking the Over in here as my Single Dime Play.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713/714 Over 204.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on The Greek

 

 

 

NBA - 717 LA Clippers @ 718 Sacramento Kings

***SINGLE DIME PLAY***

Projected line: LA Clippers by 3 points

Right now, the Sacramento Kings shouldn’t be favorites against any team in the league especially against a rising LA Clippers’ team.

The Kings are in a mess with 7 consecutive losses (and losing 21 of their last 23 games!) but more importantly they really don’t have any team chemistry and honestly I don’t think that their head coach Paul Westphal will last much more time.

I had my biggest play so far in the season against them in the last game and on my write up I’ve said:

“Actually this team just can’t perform down the stretch (we are talking about in the last quarter of the game)… I remember that they were outscored 12-23 by the Rockets at home to lose the game 93-102; they were outscored 20-30 by the Thunder in a game that the Kings showed some glimpses of competitiveness and/or they were outscored 14-25 by the Hornets in a game that the Kings led the contest by as much as 23 points!”

Then what happened? Well, the Kings were outscored 15-22 in the last quarter and they lost the game! Once again Tyreke Evans struggled on the floor by shooting 2-13 FG and having a terrible A/TO for a PG: 3/4! The Kings committed 25 turnovers and scored only 24 points in the paint!

For today they are rested and Westphal decided to change the starting lineup once again.

This time he wants a “veteran” lineup with Evans, Udrih, Garcia, Landry and Dalembert. This is the biggest example that he simply doesn’t have a clue about managing his team because I’ve already tell that the Kings biggest problem was their complete inability down the stretch right?!

On the other side the Clippers are playing their best basketball of the season. Blake Griffin and Eric Gordon have been terrific but it is Baron Davis who is making the difference! Davis is coming from a nice game against the Suns in which he scored 15 points while shooting 7-12 FG and more importantly he ended the game with 9 assists and just 2 turnovers!

After a bad stretch in which the Clippers committed an absurd number of TO’s their L4 games showed a complete different story: 15, 13, 16 and 15 TO’s.

This will be the third h2h game of this season and the Clippers won the first 2 games at home with some ease. Note that Baron Davis didn’t play in both games! I understand that the Clippers have the worst spot in here but this is a team that after losing their first 11 road games went to Chicago and beat the Bulls despite playing in consecutive nights.

Take the Clippers in here as my Single Dime Play.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 717 LA Clippers ML @ +105 / 2.05 on Bookmaker

  • great clippers write-up... good call

  • Final Update was released: 9 plays for tonight. This is a rare day in which I've found some value in almost all games of the board and this is what it all maters for us.

    Good luck for all!

  • One play has been added. Because tonight's card will be big, I've decided to release 2 Free Plays. (Plays are posted above).

    NOTE: the final update will be released at around 5:30 PM EST, thanks

  • Thanks buddy!

    NOTE: Detailed write up of the Free Play has been added.

  • Continued success Andre, you've been killing it in the NBA for YEARS! Total, real respect my friend!

  • One play has been added, it's the Free Play! (Posted above)

  • NOTE1: TD's detailed write up has been added (700 words!)

    NOTE2: two plays have been added. More to come soon...