It’s hard to predict who is going to win this match and that’s why I believe the over is the right play in here. These two players have already faced each other 10 times and in most of these matches, they went to the distance, needing a final set to decide the winner of those matches. Even though I actually see this match going to a 5th set, it won’t be necessary for this match to go over the total posted. Four sets with a tie-break will be more than enough for the match to go over the total posted. Something like 6-4 4-6 7-6 6-3 (42 games) is enough for this match to go over and in my opinion, we won’t watch any blowout set in here, as the quality of both players won’t allow that. After last season’s close final between Federer and Nadal, I believe we are heading to another really close Australian Open final and that’s why I’ll be taking the over in here.

Pick: 1 unit (Single Dime) on Over 40,5 Games