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Andre Gomes NBA Wednesday Report, 03/04/2009

NBA Previews:

Bucks @ Cavs

The Cavs have a big game against the Celtics this Friday so it's not bad to think that this can be a look ahead game spot for them, after all they return home after a tough road trip and facing a team that the Cavs already beat 3 times this season isn't worth their best effort on the floor right? The bad news for the Bucks is that teams who played the second game of back to back series in Cleveland this season are 0-6 ATS!

 Celtics @ Nets

This isn't a good spot for the Nets as they play tonight their third game in four nights and the two previous games were ballgames. They face the Boston who wants to bounce back after a tough home loss against the Pistons. Do you realize that the Celtics played three consecutive poor games? They lost @ Clippers, won by only 5 points against the Pacers at home and lost against the Pistons. No Garnett, no Scalabrine and Tony Allen and having to insert Marbury and Moore takes time to adjust and they are "struggling lately"

Suns @ Heat

The Suns had a tough loss last night in Orlando fading down the stretch. Playing a back to back isn't easy for one of the oldest teams in the league, they committed 21 turnovers last night and Shaq usually struggles in b2b games. Meanwhile the Heat had a tough loss against the Cavs as Lebron James owned Wade down the stretch, do you know that the Heat are 6-0 ATS at home after a home loss? Some of those wins were against Lakers, Magic or the Sixers!

Wizards @ Thunder

The Thunder had probably the most unexpected win of the season in their last game against the Mavericks. They are now in a good mood and they will now host the Wizards, so this might be a great spot for them especially because Caron Butler won't play tonight. But honestly do you believe in some guys like Kyle Weaver, Sefolosha or Malik Rose to put big numbers like they did against the Mavs in a daily basis?

 

Warriors @ Bulls

The Bulls suffered an humiliating loss last night in Charlotte by 80-96 and they look to bounce back tonight, the reverse is happening with the Warriors as they are coming from a huge win last night in Minnesota and note that they are 5-15 ATS after a win and 0-5 ATS as away underdogs! If the Bulls want to make a playoff push they cannot afford to lose this game.

 

 NBA FREE PICK:


Indiana Pacers @  Portland Trailblazers

The Pacers are a great surprise lately, as they are competitive despite playing without their best two players. They are 7-2 ATS L9 games and they have won their last 2 games against Denver and last night in Sacramento. This is a bad spot for them as not only they don't have a deep roster and playing back to backs games is being painful for them in this season - 4-8 ATS as away underdogs, but also because they caught the Blazers in the wrong time at the wrong place.

The Blazers are one of the better teams playing at home and they are coming from a huge win against the Spurs by 102-84. We might think that this is a letdown spot for them, however the Blazers after winning a big home game (more than 15 points difference) are 5-0 ATS in the next home game. Unlike the Pacers, they are rested for this game as they had 2 days off to prepare this game and the Blazers are 5-0 ATS at home after a home game in such spot, note that the shortest line was -9 vs Utah and in each single game they won by double digits points! When teams played the second game of a back to back series in Portland, they went 4-8 ATS.

The Blazers have as well a great motivation for this game. First of all, the Pacers have won nine consecutive games against the Blazers, the longest active win streak for a Blazers opponents so despite this is the first game of the season for these teams this is a revenge game for Portland. Also with the Denver loss last night in Detroit the Blazers are almost in the top of the Northwest Disivion and playing tomorrow in Denver they can reach the top. The Blazers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record and I think they will win this game by double digits points. I'm not asking too much for this team as they have a home average margin of victory of 9.55 ppg. Take Portland in here. 

Regular Play on Portland Trailblazers (-10)

 

 

I had a rare losing day last night and I'm preparing the bounce back tonight, the daily package includes 4 plays - all sides plays. Good Luck Yes 

 

 

CLICK HERE to get my NBA BOUNCE BACK CARD!

 

 

 

My name is André Gomes, I’m from Portugal and I am a Professional Handicapper. My sole purpose is to constantly beat the sportsbooks by taking advantage of the evaluation errors they make. It is most... Read more

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