Just a quick update on where we stand, and a 'hedge' futures bet on the Field at the WGC.
So for the WGC, we are obviously in great shape. We have 1 unit on Sergio to win at 25/1, and to be honest it really seems like he will close it out today. But I am making a call by the percentages, and throwing a small hedge on the field out there. I don't want to 'eat' into too much of my potential winnings as I really do expect Sergio to pull it out, but with how my Futures have been going this year, it's the smart play.
The Field v Sergio (+145) - 5 units
Obviously people may think I am not being smart enough and should perfectly hedge out and lock in like 12/13 units, and I very well could... But I have been watching this tournament closely and Sergio just looks solid. Matter of fact, if it was Leishman, and NOT Rory that were 3 back, I might just let it ride. As it works out with the above play, now if Sergio wins, my WGC Outright futures would net us +19u (25 - 5 - 1), when taking into account the plays on the field (5u) and Keegan (1u). If anyone other than Keegan/Sergio wins, we are looking at +5.25u (7.25 - 2). So I am more than happy to make this play. --- And as a side note, Keegan becomes our most profitable win at +33.25u (27 + 7.25 -1) - so if he wants to go out and shoot 60 I really don't mind at all, haha.
Just grabbed a large iced coffee from the local shop, and about to dig in and probably make a few plays for the day. Let's see if we can't squeeze some more profit outta these events!
-LinksPicks