Here are my tosses. These are the horses that I feel have almost no chance of winning: Laoban, Cherry Wine, and Fellowship. They could be a factor in exotics only.
My horses with a small chance of winning: Lani, Collected, Abiding Star, and Stradivari. Lani and Abiding Star are the only two offering the appropriate value.
My horses with a decent chance of winning: Uncle Lino and Awesome Speed. These two have run at least two Grade 1 caliber races. The question is their running styles are problematic. But 20 and 30 to 1 odds is exceptional value.
Most likely winner: Nyquist or Exaggerator. Each has run 5 Grade 1 caliber efforts. Exaggerator at 3 to 1 is pretty good value, but I see him going off at 2 to 1 by post time. Still a better play than Nyquist.